Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LGD Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3769a19577a388fbec7be160190c3b90ed875babc35b4f5a6970027fa5d6a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof Ultra Prime, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 38,137$22,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,047.37 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 26,098$11,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,149.68 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Ultra Prime | 43c | 23,000$9,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Ultra Prime | 31c | 16,518$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.15 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 15,652$11,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.73 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ultra Prime | 0c | 10,134$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 9,799$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.6 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 9,091$7,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.25 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 8,739$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Ultra Prime | 33c | 7,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 4,254$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.34 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Ultra Prime | 31c | 3,146$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.84 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Ultra Prime | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Ultra Prime | 35c | 3,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Ultra Prime | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 2,418$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.28 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Ultra Prime | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Ultra Prime | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Ultra Prime | 41c | 1,993$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.53 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 1,704$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.32 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ultra Prime | 22c | 1,615$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.49 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 1,434$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.94 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Ultra Prime | 20c | 1,205$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.95 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 975$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.07 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 879.47$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.17 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 775.42$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 756.73$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Ultra Prime | 36c | 691.25$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Ultra Prime | 14c | 665$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Ultra Prime | 40c | 587.14$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.86 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ultra Prime | 24c | 567.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Ultra Prime | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 480.89$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 478$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 463.16$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Ultra Prime | 18c | 430$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 423.11$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LGD Gaming | 80c | 393.41$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 365$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 356.7$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 305.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 292$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 225$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Ultra Prime | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Ultra Prime | 38c | 190$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Ultra Prime | 32c | 175.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Ultra Prime | 41c | 147.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…eadebacked Ultra Prime | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Ultra Prime | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…850bbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…cecbbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 89.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Ultra Prime | 45c | 73.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Ultra Prime | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 53.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Ultra Prime | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…e1cdbacked Ultra Prime | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 41.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Ultra Prime | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.