MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36693a2b4b5a0b403eb4c79bf2acf9f72b16f876a2d325d9b321dfb75999af4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 58c | 108,000$62,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,376.47 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nationals | 42c | 54,683$22,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,966.67 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nationals | 45c | 21,660$9,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,746.87 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…57c7backed Nationals | 46c | 15,144$6,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,988.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 41c | 11,402$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.3 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba4…e39abacked Reds | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Reds | 55c | 9,247$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.13 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals | 44c | 8,863$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.72 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nationals | 42c | 7,619$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.1 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Nationals | 44c | 6,128$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.96 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 47c | 5,605$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.35 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 54c | 5,575$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Reds | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5c…43b0backed Nationals | 44c | 4,775$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Reds | 54c | 4,400$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Reds | 54c | 3,247$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.48 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Nationals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…3bbcbacked Nationals | 44c | 2,955$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Reds | 54c | 2,848$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.92 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Reds | 53c | 2,804$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.17 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 56c | 2,630$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Nationals | 47c | 2,354$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.49 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Reds | 56c | 2,341$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.04 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Nationals | 44c | 2,288$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…7b97backed Nationals | 44c | 2,280$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Reds | 51c | 2,265$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.4 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…bfdbbacked Nationals | 44c | 2,020$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 35c | 1,869$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…2a37backed Nationals | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…c1c1backed Reds | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 31c | 1,567$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.47 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…3b19backed Reds | 57c | 1,547$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Reds | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…ea97backed Nationals | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…e738backed Nationals | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Reds | 64c | 1,281$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.48 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Nationals | 47c | 1,116$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.64 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 58c | 1,087$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.27 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…4314backed Nationals | 46c | 1,080$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…e961backed Reds | 55c | 1,080$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Nationals | 37c | 1,066$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.45 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…c483backed Reds | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e4d0backed Reds | 56c | 1,018$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…9e4dbacked Reds | 56c | 1,002$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Reds | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Reds | 54c | 963.69$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.23 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 43c | 934.96$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Reds | 54c | 900.42$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.74 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Reds | 55c | 899.87$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.94 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 47c | 794.49$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.41 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 44c | 720.7$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.66 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 46c | 692.79$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.68 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 2c | 621.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals | 48c | 600$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.84 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 43c | 551.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 46c | 528.31$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 76c | 525.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Reds | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Reds | 57c | 485.09$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…a801backed Nationals | 2c | 478.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Nationals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Reds | 56c | 440.97$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.03 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Nationals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 4c | 404.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 46c | 388$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 43c | 372.03$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Reds | 57c | 369.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Nationals | 48c | 352.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 43c | 316.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Reds | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Nationals | 24c | 274.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Nationals | 45c | 273.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Nationals | 32c | 246.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Reds | 68c | 229.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…2405backed Nationals | 7c | 227.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 44c | 220.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Nationals | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Nationals | 44c | 214.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 44c | 208.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Reds | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Reds | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Nationals | 47c | 197.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…c26dbacked Reds | 54c | 185.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Reds | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Reds | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 58c | 173.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 58c | 171.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 46c | 169$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.