NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47f7516c6623d815d7a0e92d8d9c92e6a6dded8e46d695f27d5ba55d5686c489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Lakers | 39c | 22,110$8,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,622.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Celtics | 61c | 14,228$8,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.66 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Lakers | 23c | 4,808$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 32c | 4,601$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.9 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Celtics | 63c | 4,513$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.1 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Celtics | 64c | 3,188$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.22 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Celtics | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Lakers | 46c | 2,978$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.88 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Celtics | 60c | 2,598$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.91 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 40c | 2,475$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.1 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 38c | 2,034$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.26 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 1c | 1,679$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics | 64c | 1,611$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.1 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Celtics | 63c | 1,429$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.44 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…4f12backed Celtics | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f263backed Lakers | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Celtics | 79c | 1,274$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.65 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Lakers | 3c | 1,170$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lakers | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Celtics | 76c | 1,028$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.32 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Celtics | 59c | 1,005$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Celtics | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lakers | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Celtics | 62c | 957.79$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Celtics | 65c | 947.04$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.46 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Lakers | 38c | 896.95$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Lakers | 4c | 853.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lakers | 38c | 790.65$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.47 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Lakers | 17c | 773.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 21c | 764.38$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lakers | 37c | 762.01$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.33 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Celtics | 62c | 641.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.05 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Lakers | 39c | 457.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Celtics | 55c | 453.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Lakers | 3c | 425.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lakers | 45c | 400.71$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 41c | 366$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Celtics | 72c | 343.36$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Lakers | 40c | 332.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Celtics | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 38c | 313.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Lakers | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…3249backed Lakers | 42c | 270.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lakers | 39c | 267$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Celtics | 70c | 258.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Lakers | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Celtics | 64c | 228.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Lakers | 45c | 226$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lakers | 12c | 222.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Celtics | 54c | 217.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lakers | 45c | 203.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lakers | 43c | 200.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Lakers | 39c | 200.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…a72abacked Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…b4c8backed Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…8c53backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7f11backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…d500backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…344ebacked Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…d4b5backed Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…12acbacked Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…8edfbacked Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…aa96backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…7de9backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…910bbacked Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…2c9dbacked Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf783…7684backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…d317backed Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…aeb1backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…e236backed Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…5e3bbacked Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…7e4fbacked Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ca…ae3fbacked Lakers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.