MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fcb0ea92bdff5807ff2c1f3a79eb74974f2d32ae74029357ea72b74235aae66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Reds, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Reds | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nationals | 46c | 18,011$8,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,725.9 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Reds | 24c | 11,107$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.95 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Nationals | 79c | 9,551$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.18 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 12c | 6,700$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Reds | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 17c | 4,605$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 5c | 4,191$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 16c | 3,996$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 80c | 2,862$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Reds | 20c | 2,561$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 14c | 2,500$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Reds | 54c | 2,315$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 8c | 2,185$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 16c | 2,164$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…1b13backed Nationals | 45c | 2,070$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…058cbacked Reds | 55c | 2,070$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54cd…71b9backed Nationals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…27d6backed Nationals | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 6c | 1,871$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 1c | 1,827$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 10c | 1,557$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…dd29backed Nationals | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Reds | 18c | 1,466$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.54 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Reds | 53c | 1,464$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.9 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…73dcbacked Reds | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…51a7backed Reds | 15c | 1,300$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 16c | 1,201$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 20c | 1,174$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Reds | 21c | 1,108$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…00f5backed Reds | 28c | 1,060$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…a60bbacked Reds | 55c | 1,045$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 28c | 1,037$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…8397backed Reds | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…4ee0backed Reds | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…d4b2backed Reds | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…0b33backed Reds | 55c | 927$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Nationals | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Reds | 54c | 755.56$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Reds | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 46c | 719.89$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.74 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Reds | 52c | 700$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 33c | 602.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Reds | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Reds | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 54c | 403$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 8c | 391.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Reds | 53c | 386.13$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…f900backed Reds | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…0672backed Nationals | 47c | 369.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Nationals | 75c | 359$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Nationals | 46c | 324.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Reds | 15c | 316.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 44c | 298.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Reds | 20c | 285.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…44e8backed Reds | 15c | 285.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Reds | 56c | 266.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 34c | 256.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 55c | 221.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Reds | 53c | 214$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…c166backed Reds | 8c | 205.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 5c | 202.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Nationals | 45c | 202.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…d500backed Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…aa96backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…7de9backed Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…910bbacked Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf783…7684backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…aeb1backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…e236backed Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…f9ccbacked Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…7e4fbacked Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…94dfbacked Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…4f0cbacked Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…60acbacked Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…4ff0backed Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.