Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. JD Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d5ca2cf3adaddf8a3c59e9b5eeef1d008edf9613182cafa137bf9a823e0e0fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked JD Gaming | 31c | 38,436$11,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,915.16 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Top Esports | 69c | 14,825$10,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.74 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed JD Gaming | 21c | 11,312$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.69 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked JD Gaming | 29c | 10,111$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Top Esports | 71c | 10,001$7,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed JD Gaming | 24c | 7,552$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.74 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Top Esports | 70c | 5,555$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Top Esports | 68c | 5,365$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.79 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked JD Gaming | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed JD Gaming | 16c | 3,697$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Top Esports | 70c | 3,000$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked JD Gaming | 19c | 3,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Top Esports | 72c | 2,777$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked JD Gaming | 20c | 2,621$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed JD Gaming | 21c | 2,187$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked JD Gaming | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Top Esports | 69c | 1,940$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.4 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Top Esports | 69c | 1,900$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed JD Gaming | 30c | 1,682$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed JD Gaming | 14c | 1,642$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.38 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Top Esports | 71c | 1,558$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.83 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed JD Gaming | 33c | 1,515$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.54 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed JD Gaming | 23c | 1,424$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.66 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Top Esports | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed JD Gaming | 3c | 962$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Top Esports | 70c | 872.27$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.68 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Top Esports | 71c | 849.98$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Top Esports | 72c | 794$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.32 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked JD Gaming | 31c | 775.39$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.37 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Top Esports | 71c | 700$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…4660backed JD Gaming | 29c | 649.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Top Esports | 77c | 600$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Top Esports | 73c | 548.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Top Esports | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…eadebacked Top Esports | 72c | 417.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Top Esports | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked JD Gaming | 29c | 373.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked JD Gaming | 11c | 369$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming | 30c | 337.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Top Esports | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Top Esports | 71c | 282.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed JD Gaming | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed JD Gaming | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed Top Esports | 71c | 181.69$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…d442backed JD Gaming | 30c | 168$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed JD Gaming | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Top Esports | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Top Esports | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Top Esports | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked JD Gaming | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked JD Gaming | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Top Esports | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed JD Gaming | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Top Esports | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Top Esports | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed JD Gaming | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Top Esports | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked JD Gaming | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed JD Gaming | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6f…e69dbacked JD Gaming | 30c | 47.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Top Esports | 71c | 44.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Top Esports | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked Top Esports | 77c | 38.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…6bc5backed Top Esports | 71c | 37.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…c124backed JD Gaming | 30c | 35.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…096ebacked Top Esports | 72c | 34.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Top Esports | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…c72dbacked Top Esports | 72c | 27.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…e4f4backed Top Esports | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…f7dfbacked Top Esports | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Top Esports | 71c | 23.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Top Esports | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked Top Esports | 72c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…9705backed Top Esports | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Top Esports | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Top Esports | 71c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.