WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa41951f1e162936a4652675e9d684b83804206d1e7801649a3872b49794cf76c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Valkyries, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Valkyries | 52c | 6,307$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.81 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mystics | 19c | 6,154$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.69 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 36c | 4,394$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.96 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…fa32backed Mystics | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…0b10backed Valkyries | 50c | 3,630$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 5c | 3,256$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mystics | 48c | 2,922$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Mystics | 54c | 2,220$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…80febacked Valkyries | 50c | 2,160$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…b9a6backed Mystics | 50c | 1,990$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…c39fbacked Valkyries | 50c | 1,570$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…0192backed Mystics | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3595…834dbacked Mystics | 50c | 1,417$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…2c03backed Valkyries | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Valkyries | 47c | 1,291$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Valkyries | 46c | 1,181$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mystics | 46c | 1,029$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Valkyries | 45c | 698.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.44 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Valkyries | 58c | 601.86$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mystics | 4c | 577.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mystics | 26c | 500.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Valkyries | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mystics | 49c | 470.55$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.3 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Valkyries | 52c | 461.84$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.93 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mystics | 47c | 402.01$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Valkyries | 52c | 285.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Mystics | 13c | 263.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Valkyries | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 48c | 209.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Valkyries | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 54c | 186.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 49c | 186.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Valkyries | 65c | 183$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Valkyries | 52c | 157.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Valkyries | 57c | 157$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mystics | 51c | 119$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked Valkyries | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mystics | 45c | 82.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 321 | 48%154 W · 167 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Valkyries | 50c | 80.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Valkyries | 54c | 77.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Valkyries | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Mystics | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Mystics | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Valkyries | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 36c | 34.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Mystics | 47c | 31.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked Valkyries | 52c | 22.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.