NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6269113b7fe6bd689afb398d9c059ce4ecba86b7342d54fc3c482b3261f1116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 38c | 52,718$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,918.46 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bucks | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Bucks | 63c | 44,444$27,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,777.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Heat | 38c | 37,925$14,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,513.4 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Heat | 36c | 19,596$7,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,541.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Bucks | 46c | 14,043$6,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.24 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bucks | 49c | 9,065$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.86 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Heat | 41c | 4,381$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Bucks | 64c | 4,060$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.4 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Heat | 47c | 3,106$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.02 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 51c | 2,687$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bucks | 51c | 1,966$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Heat | 65c | 1,924$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.26 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Heat | 47c | 1,737$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.72 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Bucks | 49c | 1,651$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Bucks | 64c | 1,256$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc712…450ebacked Bucks | 61c | 1,000$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Heat | 36c | 972.8$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.8 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Heat | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Bucks | 63c | 718.77$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.24 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Heat | 36c | 718.19$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Bucks | 57c | 630.14$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.55 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 3c | 549.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 64c | 504$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Heat | 35c | 499.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Bucks | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Heat | 38c | 480.37$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.56 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Bucks | 61c | 375$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Bucks | 64c | 335.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Heat | 38c | 314.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Heat | 55c | 311.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 37c | 301.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Bucks | 64c | 279$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Bucks | 62c | 272.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Heat | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 52c | 265.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Heat | 38c | 201.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Heat | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Heat | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Bucks | 62c | 165.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Bucks | 62c | 160.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 67.9%152 W · 72 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Heat | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…bd5cbacked Bucks | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…9a59backed Heat | 43c | 152.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Bucks | 65c | 150.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Bucks | 47c | 127.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Heat | 35c | 120.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Bucks | 44c | 113.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed Bucks | 61c | 112$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3d86backed Heat | 39c | 112$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks | 12c | 109.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Bucks | 53c | 103.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Bucks | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Bucks | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…0ab8backed Bucks | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…da82backed Heat | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…7348backed Bucks | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Heat | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Heat | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3810…7b00backed Heat | 40c | 98.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Heat | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Bucks | 44c | 94.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Heat | 36c | 92.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa7…04b1backed Bucks | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Heat | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Bucks | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Bucks | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Bucks | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…a1b3backed Heat | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…e736backed Bucks | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bucks | 53c | 74.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…a5d8backed Bucks | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Bucks | 59c | 62.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…ee61backed Heat | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Bucks | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 46.6%88 W · 101 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Bucks | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Heat | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Bucks | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Heat | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Heat | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…d3b1backed Heat | 52c | 48.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…773dbacked Heat | 41c | 47.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…ee63backed Bucks | 61c | 47.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Heat | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bucks | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81a…9efebacked Heat | 39c | 45.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…0492backed Bucks | 65c | 42.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…5286backed Bucks | 62c | 40.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Bucks | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Heat | 54c | 39.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Bucks | 65c | 36.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Heat | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Bucks | 61c | 33.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Bucks | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…51a1backed Bucks | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Bucks | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.