CS2 · resolved market

IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. TYLOO

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x435207c5977b3829c1b9ab62b1e0d9b517c830ba09dc246d0bca043d6d120048

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 3DMAXof 3DMAX, TYLOO
Resolved: Jul 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $86,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $91,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed TYLOO	56c	29,575$16,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,628.42	303	40.3%122 W · 181 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked 3DMAX	46c	19,469$9,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,429.74	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+14.1wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed 3DMAX	42c	12,703$5,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,427.11	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked 3DMAX	44c	8,082$3,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,487.14	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked 3DMAX	45c	6,888$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,788.39	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed 3DMAX	44c	4,505$1,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,522.8	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+6.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked TYLOO	53c	4,340$2,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,314.2	142	39.4%56 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed 3DMAX	46c	3,336$1,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,801.44	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed TYLOO	56c	2,250$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TYLOO	29c	2,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TYLOO	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked TYLOO	57c	1,956$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118.46	89	56.2%50 W · 39 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcff…9527backed TYLOO	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed TYLOO	69c	1,302$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.42	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed TYLOO	70c	1,296$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.1	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked TYLOO	55c	1,185$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1669…22efbacked TYLOO	57c	1,053$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2fe…71d6backed TYLOO	57c	1,017$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.67	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed 3DMAX	45c	1,005$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.75	608	48%292 W · 316 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed 3DMAX	43c	999.98$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.99	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed 3DMAX	46c	978.26$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.26	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed 3DMAX	43c	923.99$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.52	109	33%36 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed TYLOO	55c	909.09$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	212	51.4%109 W · 103 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked TYLOO	58c	832.84$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483	106	63.2%67 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…3607backed 3DMAX	43c	690.05$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.73	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed 3DMAX	44c	600$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	57cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked TYLOO	29c	586.17$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.99	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed 3DMAX	43c	500$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed 3DMAX	41c	475.73$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.79	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed TYLOO	55c	450$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed 3DMAX	42c	444$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.52	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed TYLOO	58c	444$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.52	446	48.4%216 W · 230 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked TYLOO	70c	428.57$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcadd…200bbacked TYLOO	55c	365$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.75	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked TYLOO	57c	351.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f78…68a4backed TYLOO	15c	333$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	85	4.7%4 W · 81 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-84.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed TYLOO	56c	330.36$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked 3DMAX	46c	320.47$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.3	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed TYLOO	59c	274.16$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.75	567	38.8%220 W · 347 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed TYLOO	40c	250$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.77	180	41.7%75 W · 105 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebce…f37bbacked TYLOO	73c	242.74$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.32	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed TYLOO	53c	230$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.9	633	45.2%286 W · 347 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed TYLOO	56c	226.79$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	854	46.4%396 W · 458 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed 3DMAX	27c	206.85$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151	95	42.1%40 W · 55 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed TYLOO	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	334	56.6%189 W · 145 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc70e…7cd6backed TYLOO	29c	174.49$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked TYLOO	57c	154.82$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked TYLOO	57c	150$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	421	49.6%209 W · 212 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked TYLOO	57c	149.15$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.45	354	54.2%192 W · 162 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc6e…9191backed TYLOO	64c	125.07$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.45	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed TYLOO	56c	125$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb78…3acfbacked TYLOO	57c	122.2$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e7…08ebbacked TYLOO	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	67	23.9%16 W · 51 L	-8.1wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked 3DMAX	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed TYLOO	54c	99.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	145	40.7%59 W · 86 L	-10.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed 3DMAX	45c	99.95$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.97	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked TYLOO	55c	94.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	1,262	46.9%592 W · 670 L	-34.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc203…ffb8backed TYLOO	55c	92.06$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.63	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked TYLOO	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed TYLOO	70c	80$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.84	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed TYLOO	57c	63.31$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	736	58.2%428 W · 308 L	-22.8wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb48…19b3backed TYLOO	55c	61.82$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 3DMAX	44c	56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	317	35.6%113 W · 204 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x280d…ccbebacked 3DMAX	40c	55.78$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked TYLOO	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	498	49.6%247 W · 251 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed 3DMAX	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.4	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed TYLOO	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked TYLOO	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	317	58%184 W · 133 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TYLOO	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf12…52b4backed TYLOO	29c	38.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked TYLOO	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80e3…e76cbacked TYLOO	63c	35.45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed 3DMAX	38c	32.06$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.87	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+37%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked TYLOO	55c	26.34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	821	46.3%380 W · 441 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed TYLOO	67c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc401…15c3backed 3DMAX	73c	21.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd156…a812backed 3DMAX	70c	21.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d64…eb24backed TYLOO	56c	20.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63fa…d239backed TYLOO	56c	19.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe150…63ccbacked 3DMAX	75c	18.27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 3DMAX	66c	18$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.09	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c11…5c97backed TYLOO	57c	17.58$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf244…4cd5backed TYLOO	62c	16.27$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	63cpaid	-55%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e9…a305backed 3DMAX	78c	16.15$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. TYLOO

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market