TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Mariners, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$457,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe785…e106backed Mets47c211,450$100,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,370.944854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners53c35,776$18,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,904.961,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…e954backed Mariners53c31,913$16,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,914.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners52c31,500$16,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,38022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Mets46c28,274$12,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,306.096450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners56c26,961$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners52c21,000$10,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,919.9155053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners52c20,001$10,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,423.7348254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners45c18,510$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.762,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners28c15,218$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.121,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners53c15,116$8,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,011.438751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Mariners53c13,482$7,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,134.2925453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Mariners24c12,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners52c10,851$5,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,629.1241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Mets47c10,551$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,59211150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Mariners53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners53c8,498$4,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,503.9426355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Mets48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2504153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Mariners51c5,720$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.738444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners52c4,444$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.8698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mariners5c4,441$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mariners38c4,296$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners2c3,994$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.981,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners18c3,851$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.5595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Mets48c3,766$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.137455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Mets47c3,666$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Mariners30c3,600$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06811553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mariners40c3,422$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3791,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mets49c3,233$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.0612248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Mariners53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.992650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mariners53c2,909$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.1254345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mets47c2,750$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.856451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mariners17c2,742$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.411,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa17e…b7eabacked Mariners46c2,598$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Mariners30c2,239$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.038042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners48c1,949$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.6445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6f…e87cbacked Mariners54c1,855$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners51c1,649$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.8830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mariners19c1,611$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.181,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Mariners53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7956845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Mets48c1,353$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.4111449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners52c1,224$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.621,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners52c1,200$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.8310940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Mariners28c1,082$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7332754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abb…8e60backed Mariners53c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3104…bd68backed Mets48c1,038$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…cb45backed Mariners23c1,000$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.896048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mariners22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Mariners53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Mariners53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1150…263bbacked Mariners53c937.74$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf35…2bbebacked Mets48c937.29$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Mariners3c849.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.246538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Mariners53c799.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mariners3c753.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.535852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Mariners27c746.83$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9360052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb865…041bbacked Mariners53c735.85$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d5…fc86backed Mets48c727.98$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners53c727$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3135952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mariners23c672.52$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8679740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Mariners29c625.13$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Mariners43c550.54$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8410459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Mets76c545.36$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.113677.8%28 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Mariners11c535.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602825%7 W · 21 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…7a6fbacked Mets48c500.92$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1166…efdbbacked Mariners53c500.81$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Mets48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Mariners18c500$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9118249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners4c461.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.791,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Mariners37c448.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16857545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mariners53c438$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Mariners53c422.97$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Mets48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6711051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03fe…27e8backed Mariners5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21283248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Mariners53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ed…82c6backed Mariners14c350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910441.3%43 W · 61 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mets46c349.97$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Mariners29c316.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7831547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6392754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners32c268.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Mariners55c264.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3713447.8%64 W · 70 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners52c249.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Mets48c241.42$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5431244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Mariners31c235.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.854441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e8…77c4backed Mariners26c232.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.418456%47 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mets48c222.58$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.741,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mariners53c215.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11412355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners25c213.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3170841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mariners53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11099951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Mariners23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4645732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mets47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Mets48c198.77$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3611947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Mariners53c198.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2724751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners29c196.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.54,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.