Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Weibo Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62962888475330aba0b8eb7e006a7b906fd9876e12390bbed1d401b86f3e5e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof FunPlus Phoenix, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 15c | 45,674$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,736.27 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Weibo Gaming | 77c | 14,223$10,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed FunPlus Phoenix | 23c | 13,630$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed FunPlus Phoenix | 23c | 5,765$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.84 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FunPlus Phoenix | 13c | 4,252$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.89 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 3,781$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.73 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked FunPlus Phoenix | 15c | 3,360$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.87 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed FunPlus Phoenix | 1c | 3,158$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed FunPlus Phoenix | 14c | 2,069$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 1,577$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.92 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed FunPlus Phoenix | 12c | 1,500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed FunPlus Phoenix | 3c | 1,447$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 12c | 1,426$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 937.18$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Weibo Gaming | 79c | 930.31$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.37 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Weibo Gaming | 77c | 903$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed FunPlus Phoenix | 5c | 812.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Weibo Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 694.8$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…df31backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 675$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 640$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Weibo Gaming | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed FunPlus Phoenix | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Weibo Gaming | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 478.03$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…d348backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 412.35$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Weibo Gaming | 77c | 356.08$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 10c | 350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FunPlus Phoenix | 6c | 267$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Weibo Gaming | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…c747backed Weibo Gaming | 79c | 238$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed FunPlus Phoenix | 8c | 234$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Weibo Gaming | 77c | 222$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…652bbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 23c | 143.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 136$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Weibo Gaming | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed FunPlus Phoenix | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Weibo Gaming | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Weibo Gaming | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Weibo Gaming | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Weibo Gaming | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Weibo Gaming | 77c | 92.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 13c | 91.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FunPlus Phoenix | 21c | 88.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 23c | 82.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…9cbdbacked Weibo Gaming | 79c | 51.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 51.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Weibo Gaming | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…234abacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 30.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Weibo Gaming | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…e76cbacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 26.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Weibo Gaming | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.