NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eb6db43a90df592419fd624a322cdd47a5dac15fcb3e37e03155b6f48a89997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 52c | 9,152$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.19 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lakers | 47c | 8,678$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Nuggets | 53c | 7,871$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.01 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Lakers | 48c | 5,718$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.4 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,850$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.77 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed Lakers | 40c | 3,532$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,600$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Nuggets | 41c | 2,565$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.38 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,178$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.78 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Lakers | 61c | 1,979$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,666$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Lakers | 58c | 1,626$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.21 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Lakers | 59c | 1,621$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,344$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.84 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Lakers | 59c | 1,020$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Lakers | 58c | 987.2$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc712…450ebacked Lakers | 55c | 945.45$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 41c | 905.85$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.37 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Lakers | 67c | 898.86$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lakers | 57c | 805.33$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.04 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 43c | 717$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 47c | 700$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nuggets | 45c | 698$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.9 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nuggets | 6c | 687.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.38 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 38c | 671.6$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.94 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Lakers | 59c | 641.56$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Nuggets | 57c | 598.54$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lakers | 54c | 571.38$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.19 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 511.46$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.46 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Lakers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Lakers | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nuggets | 49c | 474.29$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.89 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 54c | 470.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Nuggets | 42c | 353.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lakers | 59c | 339.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Nuggets | 42c | 326.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Nuggets | 47c | 303.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Lakers | 60c | 301.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 47c | 258.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Nuggets | 42c | 245.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 43c | 232.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 54c | 228.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Nuggets | 43c | 202.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Lakers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…ed65backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…8717backed Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…b4c8backed Lakers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Nuggets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…9abcbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…81f4backed Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Lakers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Nuggets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7f11backed Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Lakers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Nuggets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…d500backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…d4b5backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…12acbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…8edfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf783…7684backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…d317backed Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…aeb1backed Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…e236backed Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…5e3bbacked Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…7e4fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ca…ae3fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…3d22backed Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…45eabacked Lakers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…362cbacked Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…4f0cbacked Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…324cbacked Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…8d13backed Lakers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…60acbacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…cccebacked Nuggets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c5…1ea6backed Lakers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eda…800bbacked Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…4ff0backed Nuggets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.