TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b35…483c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$26.1
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.13
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.04
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.33
Reds vs. Metsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$27.45
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Phillies vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+100%+$12.5
White Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$13.14
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$55.29
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+203%+$50.25
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$36.4
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.77
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.86
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30.24
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54.61
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$64.41
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$49.95
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+138.1%+$49.3
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$37.1
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$35.99
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.82
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.18
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.03
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.07
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.08
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+203%+$30.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Stormbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.