TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Kings, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$981,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,000,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $981,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,715 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken46c73,079$33,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,499.51,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kraken42c53,116$22,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,807.3810050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Kings54c44,762$24,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,099.0117749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings58c40,742$23,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,630.961,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Kings58c21,645$12,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,554425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Kings59c21,263$12,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,502.5221755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken57c19,580$11,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,403.7238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kraken44c16,830$7,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,425.3932251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Kraken45c10,161$4,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,588.7228353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Kraken42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.9825449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Kings58c9,512$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,500520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kraken47c9,081$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,852.5862951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Kraken63c8,313$5,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.141450%7 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Kraken75c7,183$5,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.0932744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kraken42c6,974$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.7748549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Kraken66c6,600$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings56c6,421$3,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.462,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings57c6,176$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.3256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Kings58c6,119$3,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5492941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings47c5,966$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.052,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken42c5,697$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.431,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken42c5,168$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.2651045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Kings58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90017744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Kraken42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9214253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings57c4,880$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.0775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf86…81cebacked Kings57c4,856$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19a…74bdbacked Kraken43c4,849$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kings58c4,490$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.3528152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Kings58c4,310$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006833.8%23 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed Kings58c4,310$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Kraken45c4,015$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.155425.9%14 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kings56c3,903$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.788151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Kings58c3,721$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.1831148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kraken48c3,523$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.852,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Kraken56c3,406$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.9420951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Kings59c3,352$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.231241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Kings56c3,333$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.4813363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Kings58c3,208$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.871172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+59.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Kings55c3,024$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.794339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Kraken43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings56c2,901$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.7652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings58c2,895$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings58c2,730$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.414451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Kraken75c2,663$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.0858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Kraken5c2,559$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.561764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+117.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Kings59c2,477$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4631353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken39c2,473$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.2499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Kings37c2,454$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.4913448.5%65 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Kings33c2,366$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.383650%18 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraken44c2,247$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.521,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kings28c2,240$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.1343742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Kraken42c2,207$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.792343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…c845backed Kraken43c2,200$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8fc…c4efbacked Kings58c2,200$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings58c2,161$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.381,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kraken42c2,092$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.212,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings56c2,064$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.023,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6acc…e6eebacked Kraken49c2,000$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Kraken43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1406855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Kraken46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc86d…c53fbacked Kings58c1,897$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdadb…ee44backed Kraken43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6e…d52ebacked Kings58c1,860$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken42c1,712$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.1969550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Kings6c1,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9629412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Kings58c1,614$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.3118840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Kings2c1,600$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Kings57c1,576$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011151.4%57 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0136…dad5backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa86e…9bcdbacked Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf7…ba73backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb459…5ff1backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb7…86bcbacked Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x997e…3074backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e7…9bccbacked Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf136…ed08backed Kraken43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8551353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf8…e587backed Kraken43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8551241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x705f…f6e9backed Kraken43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8551233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f08…4e49backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94ca…4fd9backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28cd…27a0backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ab7…cd97backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabeb…2b01backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8552152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db6…45f8backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8552050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245a…e560backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4609…245abacked Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+72.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x120b…6506backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb347…c846backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8552161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8eaf…ac2abacked Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f27…7269backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72da…1016backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd081…5df4backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd9…1b80backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18d…ff3cbacked Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629b…b1bfbacked Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8552060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c9…0a79backed Kings57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.