NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x702fe0e308ce30a24a9ef982dc931020afc2274f4729568445a6333076a7dd65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 7,202$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.86 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Over | 48c | 4,783$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Under | 52c | 4,783$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Over | 47c | 3,740$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.8 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Under | 52c | 2,558$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Over | 48c | 2,558$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 46c | 2,247$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.64 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 2,125$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.31 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 796.68$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.43 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…bc84backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 101.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 349 | 41.3%144 W · 205 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 46c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 72c | 27.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. KrakenKraken won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.