NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00cfb1fe371a24b3a9d81f1bb9ba5a037a53f70cf5f2741f3e8d24ca0eb46591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Bengals, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,063,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,036,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,063,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Vikings | 63c | 1,346,086$845,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500,734.59 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bengals | 37c | 452,346$167,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,555.18 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Bengals | 37c | 195,000$72,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,150 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bengals | 38c | 166,260$63,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,178.62 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bengals | 37c | 160,000$59,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,199.99 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bengals | 37c | 99,000$37,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,014.57 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals | 38c | 70,022$26,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,271.17 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Bengals | 40c | 51,683$20,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,673.34 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Bengals | 33c | 43,085$14,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,233.89 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Vikings | 60c | 42,968$25,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,187.09 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bengals | 14c | 39,568$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.52 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Bengals | 37c | 38,637$14,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,295.65 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Bengals | 37c | 38,295$14,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,043.73 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bengals | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals | 37c | 30,000$11,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,230 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Vikings | 61c | 28,170$17,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,986.27 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Bengals | 38c | 25,258$9,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,480.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Bengals | 35c | 21,319$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Bengals | 37c | 20,885$7,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,727.43 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bengals | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Bengals | 37c | 18,548$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,844.04 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bengals | 34c | 16,721$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715.83 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Vikings | 59c | 15,100$8,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bengals | 41c | 13,400$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Vikings | 60c | 13,333$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.33 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 71c | 12,656$8,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.11 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bengals | 8c | 11,747$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.78 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bengals | 39c | 9,342$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.22 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Bengals | 42c | 7,972$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…0f83backed Bengals | 42c | 7,200$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bengals | 8c | 6,507$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.41 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bengals | 39c | 6,502$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.87 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bengals | 39c | 5,368$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.59 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Vikings | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Bengals | 25c | 4,343$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.97 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…49bbbacked Bengals | 41c | 4,260$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Bengals | 37c | 3,398$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Bengals | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Bengals | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Bengals | 37c | 3,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…3b61backed Bengals | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bengals | 37c | 2,557$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.23 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Bengals | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bengals | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Bengals | 40c | 2,495$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…a5cbbacked Bengals | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bengals | 1c | 2,151$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Vikings | 62c | 2,142$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.88 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Vikings | 58c | 2,105$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.22 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Vikings | 74c | 1,999$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.02 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Vikings | 60c | 1,987$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.13 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Vikings | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Bengals | 36c | 1,666$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.08 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Bengals | 31c | 1,628$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bengals | 42c | 1,570$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.95 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Bengals | 42c | 1,534$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Vikings | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bengals | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bengals | 1c | 1,471$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…403dbacked Bengals | 1c | 1,425$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +637.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Bengals | 12c | 1,392$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Bengals | 41c | 1,350$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Vikings | 59c | 1,350$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Vikings | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.99 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Bengals | 9c | 1,278$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bengals | 38c | 1,275$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Vikings | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Bengals | 42c | 1,249$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.2 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Bengals | 39c | 1,200$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Vikings | 60c | 1,198$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.53 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Vikings | 60c | 1,187$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.67 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Vikings | 60c | 1,175$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Vikings | 63c | 1,161$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.01 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bengals | 2c | 1,145$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Bengals | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vikings | 59c | 1,013$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.93 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bengals | 41c | 1,001$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.81 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Bengals | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Bengals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8fffbacked Vikings | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bengals | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Bengals | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Bengals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…67dfbacked Bengals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…e816backed Bengals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Bengals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Bengals | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Bengals | 36c | 944.87$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Bengals | 40c | 914.57$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.83 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…b434backed Bengals | 37c | 899.93$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.77 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bengals | 2c | 862$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…f944backed Bengals | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bengals | 37c | 780$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…0f05backed Bengals | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa3…5154backed Bengals | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…c07fbacked Bengals | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Vikings | 61c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Bengals | 40c | 599.11$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Bengals | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Vikings | 60c | 579.37$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.37 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bengals vs. Vikingsthis page
- Spread: MIN (-1.5)MIN won
- Spread: MIN (-3.5)MIN won
- Spread: MIN (-4.5)MIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.