MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94ffb5b01c733ff44984a589aa9ed854b314385f47715341a7a2b5d28da3bc62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Athletics | 48c | 34,625$16,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,026.5 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Astros | 56c | 10,642$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.45 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 56c | 6,640$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 44c | 4,513$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 57c | 3,750$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.5 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 55c | 3,622$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Athletics | 44c | 3,010$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.6 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 51c | 2,664$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.48 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 43c | 2,502$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.38 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Astros | 56c | 2,355$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.8 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 39c | 1,910$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.36 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Astros | 38c | 1,385$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,227$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.27 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 53c | 1,115$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.05 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Athletics | 46c | 1,072$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.64 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Astros | 57c | 1,067$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.93 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Astros | 6c | 937.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 6c | 923.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 43c | 867.15$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.27 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Astros | 12c | 849.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 16c | 791.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 43c | 760$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.2 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 44c | 750$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Athletics | 43c | 733$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.81 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 28c | 681.09$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Athletics | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Athletics | 46c | 435.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 54c | 350.19$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 44c | 335.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Astros | 12c | 254.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 56c | 209$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…8894backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…d661backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…4508backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…8065backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…d3eabacked Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…3e8dbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…bdf5backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…d412backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…51d0backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…0700backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…0d4bbacked Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…3468backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…7207backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…0e39backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf372…d63dbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…9c2fbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…4847backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…9d72backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…a812backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…5ef2backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…8717backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…8295backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…ee50backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0b…a16fbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ce…3b7bbacked Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f34…d5f7backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…9d17backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…ca51backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…9310backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…5b7ebacked Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.