MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fa9a4d6f7caac1c3cba577184c00bb0993bfe794bb82fbe7c82f32a6bc9ad42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Mets | 63c | 55,927$35,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,234.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Reds | 37c | 45,166$16,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,454.32 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Mets | 62c | 20,560$12,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,747.15 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Reds | 38c | 13,010$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,066.2 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Mets | 12c | 12,510$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 38c | 10,308$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Mets | 64c | 9,386$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Mets | 62c | 8,204$5,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095.31 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 34c | 8,137$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Reds | 44c | 7,417$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.56 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 37c | 6,500$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 38c | 5,878$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.54 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 55c | 5,458$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.22 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Reds | 38c | 5,223$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.26 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 37c | 5,088$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Mets | 62c | 4,880$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.83 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Reds | 45c | 4,577$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Mets | 23c | 4,309$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.03 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 37c | 4,139$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.61 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 77c | 3,699$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.28 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mets | 46c | 3,245$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.55 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 62c | 3,154$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.85 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Reds | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mets | 34c | 2,715$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.2 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mets | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets | 62c | 2,421$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.02 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mets | 62c | 2,421$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 7c | 2,401$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Reds | 45c | 2,246$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.58 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 49c | 1,623$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mets | 1c | 1,575$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Reds | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 3c | 1,202$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Mets | 9c | 1,116$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Reds | 33c | 1,056$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.23 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 66c | 1,026$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.75 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Reds | 38c | 1,006$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Mets | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mets | 4c | 987.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Mets | 55c | 912.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 43c | 908.04$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.74 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 39c | 900$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mets | 47c | 819.59$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.35 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mets | 62c | 810.41$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.46 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 18c | 732.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Reds | 38c | 686.41$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.57 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Mets | 62c | 535.48$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Reds | 37c | 499$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 38c | 449.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.95 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Reds | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…b17dbacked Mets | 63c | 441.68$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Mets | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mets | 67c | 393.02$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.02 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…7c86backed Reds | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Reds | 57c | 364.07$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Reds | 59c | 349.1$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Reds | 39c | 345.05$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.74 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mets | 10c | 339.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Reds | 47c | 297.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Mets | 47c | 294.17$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed Reds | 62c | 285.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 75c | 279.6$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…786abacked Reds | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Reds | 74c | 254.69$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 31c | 247.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Mets | 47c | 237.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Reds | 67c | 232.11$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Reds | 71c | 226.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Mets | 45c | 224$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 37c | 219.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Mets | 32c | 219.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Reds | 39c | 217.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Reds | 25c | 213.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 38c | 205.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Reds | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 38c | 199.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Reds | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Reds | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 51c | 173.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Mets | 63c | 160.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Reds | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 38c | 158$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Reds | 75c | 152.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed Mets | 39c | 150.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Reds | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed Reds | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Reds | 37c | 136.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…0176backed Reds | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Reds | 39c | 126.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mets | 33c | 121$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Mets | 43c | 106.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.