College Football · resolved market
North Carolina vs. California
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88148270c5ae326052a398b7de301996fc776ba1aec0e3df7f63570b3e5f86c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Californiaof North Carolina, California
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $918,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $912,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $918,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked North Carolina | 22c | 231,989$52,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,183.87 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed North Carolina | 27c | 58,710$15,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,589.11 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed California | 77c | 42,761$33,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,682.73 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed North Carolina | 19c | 40,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked California | 74c | 38,042$28,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,850.92 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked California | 80c | 35,092$28,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.31 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed California | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed California | 77c | 27,561$21,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308.7 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked North Carolina | 20c | 23,702$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.89 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed North Carolina | 24c | 20,583$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked North Carolina | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400.12 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed North Carolina | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California | 72c | 17,060$12,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,767.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked North Carolina | 26c | 16,847$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.32 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed California | 73c | 15,239$11,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.65 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked North Carolina | 26c | 15,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed North Carolina | 19c | 14,410$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.01 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed North Carolina | 30c | 13,956$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.58 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed California | 74c | 12,343$9,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.12 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California | 73c | 11,497$8,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.66 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed California | 79c | 9,175$7,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.09 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California | 79c | 8,825$6,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.07 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed North Carolina | 49c | 8,175$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked California | 74c | 8,008$5,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.01 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked North Carolina | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed California | 75c | 6,608$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.04 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked North Carolina | 25c | 5,875$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.47 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed California | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked California | 76c | 4,591$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…5a9ebacked North Carolina | 25c | 4,591$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed North Carolina | 15c | 4,389$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed North Carolina | 21c | 4,352$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked California | 74c | 4,318$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed California | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked California | 75c | 3,984$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.93 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked California | 74c | 3,600$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed North Carolina | 25c | 3,377$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.71 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed California | 77c | 3,365$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.67 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed North Carolina | 26c | 3,323$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.98 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California | 80c | 3,029$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.9 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed North Carolina | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked California | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked California | 73c | 2,888$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.12 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked California | 73c | 2,750$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed North Carolina | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed North Carolina | 25c | 2,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed California | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California | 74c | 2,479$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.44 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked California | 64c | 2,448$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed California | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked North Carolina | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked California | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed California | 75c | 1,980$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…70f1backed North Carolina | 25c | 1,584$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…2da1backed California | 76c | 1,582$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…2b8ebacked California | 76c | 1,515$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked California | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3c15backed North Carolina | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked North Carolina | 4c | 1,407$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked North Carolina | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked California | 78c | 1,387$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.36 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…7a07backed North Carolina | 22c | 1,370$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e64…fd77backed North Carolina | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California | 70c | 1,046$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked California | 74c | 1,040$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed California | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed California | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed North Carolina | 24c | 917.93$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed North Carolina | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed North Carolina | 12c | 841.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked North Carolina | 35c | 816.3$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.83 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed North Carolina | 28c | 794.43$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.44 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked California | 75c | 725$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed North Carolina | 18c | 701.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed North Carolina | 24c | 677.58$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked North Carolina | 8c | 635.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed North Carolina | 21c | 597.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed California | 75c | 566$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed North Carolina | 23c | 548.27$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed California | 80c | 525.53$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked California | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed North Carolina | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed North Carolina | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed North Carolina | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…0a49backed North Carolina | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed North Carolina | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed California | 75c | 499.74$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked California | 76c | 489.77$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed North Carolina | 24c | 461.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…7963backed North Carolina | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…a34dbacked California | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254e…0a56backed North Carolina | 24c | 438.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked North Carolina | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked North Carolina | 25c | 398.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked California | 77c | 393.35$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed North Carolina | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked North Carolina | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked North Carolina | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked North Carolina | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked North Carolina | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina vs. Californiathis page
- North Carolina vs. California: O/U 46.5Under won
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: California (-10.5)North Carolina won
- Spread: California (-11.5)North Carolina won
- Spread: California (-7.5)North Carolina won
- Spread: California (-8.5)North Carolina won
- Spread: California (-9.5)North Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.