MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x012f5743d45e2783931e0a4da18086874cd81c4a0fafda04454751a174829e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Phillies, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e16…c743backed Phillies | 52c | 192,344$100,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,018.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Blue Jays | 48c | 191,382$91,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,518.64 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…86bcbacked Phillies | 52c | 30,703$15,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,965.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…5762backed Blue Jays | 48c | 29,811$14,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,501.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Phillies | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.77 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…398dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…db5cbacked Phillies | 50c | 9,996$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 58c | 6,692$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.29 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 0c | 5,721$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 4,456$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 4,324$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.22 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Phillies | 20c | 3,551$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 2,714$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.73 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Phillies | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 1c | 2,110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Phillies | 34c | 2,077$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Phillies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 36c | 1,809$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.56 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,799$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.67 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 1c | 1,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,226$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,224$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.63 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,176$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.58 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,122$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.57 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 69c | 1,101$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.26 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…3fa1backed Phillies | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Phillies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Phillies | 2c | 996.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 934.37$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.87 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 9c | 928$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Phillies | 51c | 923$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Blue Jays | 49c | 923$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…16c0backed Blue Jays | 48c | 891.98$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Phillies | 51c | 799.94$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 50c | 633.5$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed Phillies | 6c | 623.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +486.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Blue Jays | 48c | 458.02$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.53 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Phillies | 19c | 438.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 78c | 388.76$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 53c | 380.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Phillies | 15c | 380$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Blue Jays | 49c | 378.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Phillies | 6c | 350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Phillies | 51c | 220.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jays | 48c | 208.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 202.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Phillies | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Blue Jays | 48c | 190.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 184.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Phillies | 52c | 172.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 131.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 119.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Phillies | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 113.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…3458backed Blue Jays | 49c | 104.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…0536backed Phillies | 52c | 102.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…4de7backed Blue Jays | 49c | 101.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c1…6428backed Phillies | 52c | 101.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…21a7backed Blue Jays | 49c | 98.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…3018backed Phillies | 52c | 98.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Phillies | 51c | 97.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…f057backed Phillies | 52c | 96.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30a…37afbacked Phillies | 52c | 96.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…de7ebacked Phillies | 52c | 95.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Phillies | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…16dfbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 93.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…3c69backed Blue Jays | 49c | 92.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jays | 66c | 91.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…e207backed Blue Jays | 49c | 91.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…ff08backed Blue Jays | 49c | 89.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…2c06backed Phillies | 52c | 89.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…57ebbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 88.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…75edbacked Phillies | 52c | 80.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Blue Jays | 54c | 80.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Phillies | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…2193backed Phillies | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 79c | 69.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blue Jays | 48c | 65.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…e09fbacked Phillies | 17c | 65.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Blue Jays | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.