TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Boise State vs. South Florida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Floridaof Boise State, South Florida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$411,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$512,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Boise State63c107,613$67,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,355.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed South Florida36c95,331$34,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,162.021145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed South Florida51c29,862$15,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,760.1586243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed South Florida35c25,407$8,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,407.412450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked South Florida34c24,052$8,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,881.6481847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Boise State64c21,892$14,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,064.1829249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Boise State64c19,740$12,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,633.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed South Florida37c14,538$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,137.72548%12 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Boise State70c14,436$10,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,060944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Boise State62c9,826$6,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,130.327846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed South Florida34c9,372$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,185.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d95…51c8backed Boise State64c7,300$4,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,654.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Boise State46c5,263$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.381850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed South Florida33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.917342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed South Florida32c4,957$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.4511553%61 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Boise State56c4,945$2,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.123850%19 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Boise State65c4,220$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed South Florida36c4,000$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5702330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed South Florida48c3,743$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.4510851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked South Florida47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5902152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Boise State5c2,907$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0724229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed South Florida33c2,866$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.058149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Boise State54c2,689$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Boise State72c2,463$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.863351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed South Florida39c2,303$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Boise State63c2,230$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.291540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked South Florida33c2,130$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.5219051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Boise State64c2,000$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Boise State69c1,859$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.841631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Boise State58c1,827$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.4223751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b5…4025backed Boise State67c1,600$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc1c…9c01backed Boise State67c1,507$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed South Florida31c1,503$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.162334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Boise State62c1,380$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8502653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Boise State75c1,336$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Boise State64c1,333$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.354360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Boise State32c1,145$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed South Florida32c1,136$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.5126750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Boise State66c1,111$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed South Florida22c1,074$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked South Florida33c1,029$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.0250358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Boise State64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed South Florida44c1,000$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked South Florida32c999.95$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.9710242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Boise State78c873.85$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.68078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked South Florida31c827.99$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.6349253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked South Florida32c827.64$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.7616747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Boise State2c827$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.772370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Boise State75c806.02$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.523141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed South Florida38c750$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46514836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Florida52c748$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.2157144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Boise State67c670.58$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Boise State4c659$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.941360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed South Florida35c649.34$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.075038%19 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Boise State68c614.73$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Boise State63c614.11$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6549443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked South Florida35c576.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.2622437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Boise State64c565.31$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked South Florida29c562.09$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked South Florida30c538.41$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.892250%11 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked South Florida35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3256541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed South Florida34c464.48$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5619043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed South Florida44c444.87$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4834529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ea8…6e3dbacked Boise State46c441.07$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.84333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Boise State66c422.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.013644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed South Florida39c418.12$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Boise State49c385.11$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.424052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Boise State68c369.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Boise State62c357.06$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.654250%21 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked South Florida29c350$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.232462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c7e…3748backed Boise State67c345.42$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed South Florida32c342.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.181464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Boise State59c336.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa1…e6fdbacked South Florida36c330.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.923351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Boise State67c325.37$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2184942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed Boise State67c315.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.845358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ef…7573backed Boise State67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5287…73f4backed South Florida34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+125.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked South Florida30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104562.2%28 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+53.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed South Florida34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1218858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cae…f15ebacked South Florida51c292.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.593043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9c…e860backed Boise State72c280$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Boise State49c262.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306764.2%43 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Boise State77c260.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.996162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Boise State40c259.2$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.87110%0 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf37…8128backed Boise State75c257.64$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eda…054abacked Boise State66c220$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed South Florida56c212.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.546630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed South Florida44c205.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1146835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…7507backed Boise State58c203.51$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.11520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Boise State70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8914945.6%68 W · 81 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Boise State74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6310445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked South Florida35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1309420.2%19 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0029…c419backed South Florida34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Boise State66c199.98$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9913149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Boise State66c199.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.974969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed South Florida45c194.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.454557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked South Florida33c190.2$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.28041.3%33 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked South Florida34c180$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+166.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x800e…d9bdbacked Boise State67c179.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.