TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22ef…7573

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$67.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.39
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$66.3
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$48
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$26.4
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.2
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.61
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$39.16
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$49.03
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$54
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.5
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$69
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+203%+$100.5
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$140
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.2
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$54
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$81.9
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$162
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$106
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Tigers vs. Piratesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$754
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$588
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$351
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$312
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+70.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$129.6
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.4
Jets vs. Islandersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$94
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$78
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Appalachian State vs. Charlottebacked Charlotte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.35
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$201
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.