TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Tigers, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5912…89aebacked Pirates55c90,070$49,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,103.542744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers44c38,570$16,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,970.7786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9155053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Tigers46c16,026$7,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,372.166258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Tigers45c12,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Tigers45c10,600$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,77038949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Tigers45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9914648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tigers46c9,113$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,21528646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates54c8,509$4,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,913.9926949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers30c7,475$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.999,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Tigers45c7,421$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.8426355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers45c5,336$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.212,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers47c5,143$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.241,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Tigers16c4,802$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pirates54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3806550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Pirates54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4052…23d4backed Pirates53c2,985$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Tigers46c2,717$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25026847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Pirates53c2,290$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.0853150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pirates68c2,204$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.750852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers17c2,105$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.7995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9371751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Tigers5c1,973$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7717927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers47c1,949$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.0532852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2313…3ee6backed Tigers46c1,938$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pirates53c1,685$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.095,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates69c1,593$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.62,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9937446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Tigers48c1,270$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.413359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Pirates60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50014966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Tigers46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Tigers45c1,050$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.55648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Tigers46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46011040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Tigers46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Tigers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48012939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Pirates54c999.47$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.756642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Tigers45c995.56$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4486953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers46c875$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.51,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Tigers44c820.04$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.483531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe408…232bbacked Tigers37c710.77$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers46c700.72$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.331,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Tigers30c670.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7317239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers18c630$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Pirates80c630$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12616947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Tigers17c596.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Tigers45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers45c555$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers45c554.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7531346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Tigers44c535$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pirates53c516.38$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.75940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22532042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers23c455.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.522,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ca…5830backed Tigers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Tigers46c395.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.157847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Pirates56c371$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.247833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Tigers49c367.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers45c333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.856,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Pirates55c333$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8514446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tigers41c331$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.71,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Tigers45c323.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4519449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers55c313.3$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.766645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates54c279.97$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.791,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Tigers46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Tigers44c256$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Tigers16c235$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.610719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Tigers25c234.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Tigers44c228$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3231347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Tigers49c225.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3211748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Tigers46c219.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.081,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Pirates54c218$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Tigers47c216.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9110544.8%47 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…2ab2backed Tigers48c209.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers44c199.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.981,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Tigers16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pirates55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8263052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pirates55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Tigers45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8115949.1%78 W · 81 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Tigers45c172$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.413843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99ff…445cbacked Tigers16c157.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a7…672bbacked Tigers46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Tigers30c150.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2716157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8421…37d7backed Tigers46c147.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4842…f97ebacked Tigers46c136.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Tigers13c132.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1641747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates78c130.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Tigers31c127.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5510834.3%37 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers17c121.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.641,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ae…41a4backed Tigers45c120.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.062839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates55c120.13$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.061,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Pirates57c116.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.671,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Tigers43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fff…f099backed Tigers46c115.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe08…40bebacked Pirates55c113.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x206c…4c2ebacked Tigers46c113.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…fd2fbacked Pirates55c112.6$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.674100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+123.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Pirates52c112.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pirates54c111.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.391,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.