NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f4092cdf435f93e2305f22b6a215b265589d3ba51d7eb6f4aab8b35f249a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengals of Bengals , Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bengals | 63c | 10,812$6,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.97 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Bengals | 67c | 10,120$6,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Commanders | 38c | 10,118$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.23 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Bengals | 75c | 6,953$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.72 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Commanders | 37c | 6,643$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.07 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Commanders | 9c | 6,079$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.51 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…2a36backed Commanders | 36c | 5,625$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Commanders | 36c | 4,547$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.62 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Commanders | 37c | 3,771$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.56 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Bengals | 65c | 3,122$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bengals | 57c | 2,767$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.09 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Commanders | 35c | 2,711$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Bengals | 66c | 2,661$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…5688backed Bengals | 63c | 2,503$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Bengals | 62c | 2,355$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.9 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Commanders | 49c | 2,190$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Bengals | 64c | 1,953$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.67 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Bengals | 64c | 1,701$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.83 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Commanders | 36c | 1,415$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Commanders | 14c | 1,234$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Commanders | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Commanders | 3c | 1,111$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Commanders | 39c | 1,060$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.3 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Commanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Commanders | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Commanders | 37c | 993.68$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.66 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Commanders | 39c | 964.92$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.77 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Commanders | 32c | 957$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Commanders | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Bengals | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Bengals | 63c | 795.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.23 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Bengals | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Commanders | 39c | 717.5$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Commanders | 19c | 677.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bengals | 64c | 649.35$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.19 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Bengals | 64c | 625.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.87 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Bengals | 64c | 570$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bengals | 71c | 554.49$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Commanders | 29c | 531.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Commanders | 12c | 500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Bengals | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Bengals | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Commanders | 60c | 466.01$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Commanders | 35c | 458.79$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Bengals | 65c | 421.68$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…9f64backed Commanders | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Bengals | 71c | 389.69$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Bengals | 46c | 389.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Bengals | 66c | 381.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Bengals | 52c | 379.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Commanders | 21c | 349.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Bengals | 66c | 331.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Commanders | 15c | 327.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Bengals | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Bengals | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Commanders | 47c | 310$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Bengals | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Commanders | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Commanders | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Commanders | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Bengals | 63c | 269.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Commanders | 27c | 265$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals | 61c | 259.74$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Commanders | 39c | 249.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…054abacked Bengals | 63c | 229.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c1…c14dbacked Bengals | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Commanders | 34c | 212.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…69a8backed Commanders | 46c | 212.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Commanders | 22c | 211.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Bengals | 37c | 210.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Bengals | 64c | 209.17$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Bengals | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Commanders | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Commanders | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Commanders | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Bengals | 64c | 196.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Commanders | 36c | 196.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Commanders | 58c | 176.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…73f4backed Bengals | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Bengals | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Bengals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Bengals | 64c | 156.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22ef…7573backed Bengals | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Commanders | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…99c6backed Commanders | 71c | 141.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Bengals | 64c | 112.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Bengals | 60c | 112$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…e2f7backed Commanders | 39c | 110.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bengals | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4ceabacked Bengals | 67c | 104.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bengals | 62c | 103$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…a580backed Bengals | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…53c7backed Bengals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…f95abacked Bengals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…c33cbacked Commanders | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…90e2backed Bengals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…6b99backed Commanders | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…c1d2backed Commanders | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbab…254bbacked Bengals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…c2b6backed Bengals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.