TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5287…73f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+488.2%+$132.8
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.2
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$19.8
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$37.69
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$23.33
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$25.82
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$63.96
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$34.94
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.45
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.98
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$689
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$621
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$434
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$516
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$138
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$224
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$96.6
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$120
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$61.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.6
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$134.4
Avalanche vs. Sabresbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$32.4
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+125.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Appalachian State vs. Charlottebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$90.76
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$198
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.