MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c02f6bf1f43f1dcd4f5f6f163a44ff20c829b3018b6160add46af74823572ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pirates | 0c | 60,737$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 46c | 21,823$10,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,784.21 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates | 54c | 20,016$10,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,808.62 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Pirates | 54c | 14,231$7,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,633.59 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Pirates | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cubs | 69c | 6,500$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cubs | 45c | 5,423$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.88 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 54c | 5,220$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.77 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Cubs | 46c | 5,011$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 45c | 5,003$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.49 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Cubs | 75c | 4,957$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.95 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 55c | 4,750$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Cubs | 47c | 4,171$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.37 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Pirates | 54c | 4,109$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 74c | 4,083$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.02 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 21c | 4,054$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.95 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 28c | 3,481$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cubs | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 10c | 2,871$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 46c | 2,390$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.11 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 27c | 2,283$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.19 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Cubs | 76c | 1,775$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.33 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Pirates | 31c | 1,775$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 25c | 1,652$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.82 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Pirates | 2c | 1,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Cubs | 80c | 1,600$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Cubs | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Pirates | 54c | 1,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.98 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates | 53c | 1,400$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.98 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cubs | 46c | 1,310$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.24 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pirates | 54c | 1,244$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.2 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 47c | 1,232$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.1 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Pirates | 20c | 1,194$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Cubs | 47c | 1,181$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,132$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.33 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Cubs | 44c | 1,127$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Cubs | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.94 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 28c | 1,076$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.66 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…a751backed Cubs | 71c | 1,070$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 46c | 1,035$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.9 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Pirates | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pirates | 55c | 999.96$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 23c | 898.52$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…9647backed Cubs | 45c | 893.33$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Pirates | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cubs | 44c | 880.97$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.34 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cubs | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Cubs | 47c | 851$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.03 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pirates | 56c | 799.98$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 23c | 791.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 53c | 754$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Cubs | 68c | 733.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 46c | 731.38$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.95 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Pirates | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Cubs | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cubs | 44c | 642.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.07 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 53c | 638.78$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.55 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Cubs | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pirates | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Pirates | 37c | 537.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Cubs | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cubs | 44c | 512.97$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.26 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cubs | 45c | 508.29$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.56 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Cubs | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Pirates | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Pirates | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Pirates | 41c | 484.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Cubs | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.75 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed Pirates | 22c | 463.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cubs | 75c | 463$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cubs | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Pirates | 54c | 435.19$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cubs | 46c | 434.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cubs | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Pirates | 16c | 388$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Cubs | 78c | 370.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Cubs | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 46c | 345.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Cubs | 48c | 328.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Cubs | 45c | 302.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Pirates | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…15d4backed Pirates | 54c | 283.78$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Pirates | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cubs | 46c | 245$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Pirates | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…d3fdbacked Cubs | 45c | 224.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Cubs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Piratesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- NRFI: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.