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NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Wizards, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,229,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,315,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,229,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Wizards13c90,569$11,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,773.9715443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards14c73,977$10,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,365.692,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards13c37,023$4,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,983.1927424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Wizards0c33,400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10465218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Wizards13c32,810$4,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,153.3727917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards14c28,098$3,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,994.762,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards8c26,731$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.144,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Wizards7c25,232$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.5410235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Wizards13c25,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards14c23,000$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,22031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Wizards14c21,309$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards14c21,040$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Wizards14c17,816$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53132827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards5c15,249$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.4750838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards13c14,341$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.3496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Wizards16c13,724$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.834742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards8c13,560$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.61,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards0c11,990$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.198820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1514…26e7backed Wizards13c11,305$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b6…5a9ebacked Wizards14c10,406$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Wizards15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Wizards14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards11c9,115$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.2781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Wizards13c8,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…2848backed Wizards14c7,950$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.962846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards8c7,578$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Wizards15c7,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12510547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards9c7,423$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.851,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards13c7,358$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Wizards14c7,200$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00848448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards14c7,092$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.431,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Wizards14c7,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98016140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards13c6,947$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.981,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Wizards13c5,408$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.6650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70044648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Wizards14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Wizards14c4,769$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards15c4,500$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.9786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5a…5d29backed Wizards14c4,222$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.081428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30e…eadabacked Wizards1c4,143$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Wizards15c3,754$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeac…867abacked Wizards15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaba…19b7backed Wizards14c3,060$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+78.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Wizards14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42014434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Wizards8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca8…c951backed Wizards14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.993026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Wizards14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014243%61 W · 81 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Wizards20c2,796$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.2448957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1595…25e7backed Wizards14c2,689$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe232…042dbacked Wizards15c2,500$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e0…f075backed Wizards16c2,400$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.921421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1d…45ccbacked Wizards14c2,262$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Wizards13c2,200$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.04911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…6953backed Wizards13c2,200$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards14c2,104$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5146632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Wizards10c2,095$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040536.5%148 W · 257 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards14c2,075$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.530826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Wizards1c2,040$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.097502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Wizards15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29cd…6a31backed Wizards15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Wizards14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Wizards15c2,000$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.11,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked Wizards15c1,987$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29819144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…8c1bbacked Wizards15c1,980$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.091442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb19…8a05backed Wizards16c1,903$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wizards14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards16c1,654$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.922,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec2…f07dbacked Wizards14c1,586$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Wizards16c1,550$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0122430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards9c1,543$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4934227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Wizards14c1,504$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5753539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Wizards13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19517931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Wizards13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19519441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Wizards14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21013250%66 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x703a…e323backed Wizards4c1,487$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick11cpaid+105.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Wizards14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards12c1,340$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.211,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…a76ebacked Wizards1c1,317$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1068…508fbacked Wizards6c1,300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824221.4%9 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Wizards13c1,242$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4140035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Wizards14c1,214$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9927939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe34…e166backed Wizards9c1,203$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11052137.2%194 W · 327 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Wizards14c1,186$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards1c1,164$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.647211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf0…3156backed Wizards10c1,160$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.950338.4%193 W · 310 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards6c1,141$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.833,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Wizards9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards14c1,059$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.521,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039a…5e22backed Wizards17c1,008$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Wizards5c1,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4542640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Wizards10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x467e…4343backed Wizards14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Wizards15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…f40dbacked Wizards15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Wizards15c999.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1456636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Wizards14c999.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438c…72d6backed Wizards9c977.89$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.