TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c24,000$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7601,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c22,000$10,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Over49c12,719$6,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,233.8110235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under51c12,216$6,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,997.3969852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Under51c9,723$4,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,786.743759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over50c7,526$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,73033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c6,600$3,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.292,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7b…b0acbacked Over49c5,070$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over51c4,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under50c4,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02047751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.8328850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c3,105$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c3,070$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.182,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c2,809$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c2,499$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.441,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over52c2,322$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.4725248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c1,878$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.782,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0c…cc5bbacked Under50c1,746$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over49c1,654$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.6248347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…4a47backed Over49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73518954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4e…498abacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over50c1,332$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.0936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over49c1,329$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.4117744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c1,278$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.133,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Over51c1,257$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.995736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Under51c1,253$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61417658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under52c1,240$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under52c1,089$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.565850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708048.8%39 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under53c873.58$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.5840952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x856f…e1d7backed Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over51c756.66$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Under52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over49c604.62$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9852643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c514.2$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2435749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.250954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over44c415.13$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.761,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15517941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c228.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.142,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c213.43$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under48c193.56$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.912,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c159.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.051,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c109$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.122,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5065855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4872647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…b6d3backed Under52c99.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over32c98.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.523,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1520444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ffe…1bc9backed Under51c89.61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa633…5692backed Over50c89.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x673f…db13backed Over49c87.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2de6…5b2dbacked Over52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Under76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7923547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa393…29f7backed Over52c57.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.721346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Over50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Over59c50.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255662.5%35 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.65213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6710646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2425150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fc…8cc0backed Under49c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over50c39.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb14f…dd7dbacked Under49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7411051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.427350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.432649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.427251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43935.9%14 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over48c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8324552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over48c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8310751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over48c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8326648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1887…d066backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.783655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ed…a988backed Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over49c24.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.011,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Under51c24.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0115841.1%65 W · 93 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51e5…9fcabacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.