NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb46c7ad9e37ff5fed11477f8086558804af165b05d0110d2a689e22fb376f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 57c | 1,745$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.92 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 45c | 1,151$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.94 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 56c | 892.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 867.21$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 44c | 459.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 45c | 347$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 282$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 43c | 273$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…f54fbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Under | 50c | 209.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 42c | 180.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 54c | 124$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd4…edd2backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…16e8backed Under | 56c | 98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 89.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -12.3wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 54c | 66.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…88acbacked Under | 56c | 55.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…dd58backed Over | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…0a4dbacked Over | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Under | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 37.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Under | 57c | 35.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 44c | 34.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…642abacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 44c | 24.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b651backed Under | 56c | 24.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Under | 56c | 24.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 46c | 23.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…7e00backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5this page
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.