NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x207906ff48215ba823d94a8b21547e52e88cf006151e6877817590f64af96a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed 76ers | 53c | 28,035$14,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,176.36 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wizards | 47c | 20,649$9,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,676.06 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 47c | 5,566$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Wizards | 55c | 3,132$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Wizards | 47c | 2,720$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.4 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed 76ers | 54c | 1,946$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.07 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 46c | 1,907$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.26 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 47c | 1,338$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed 76ers | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Wizards | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…6fa7backed 76ers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed 76ers | 53c | 969.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.9 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 45c | 590.91$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.91 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 6c | 310.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 45c | 301.35$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 51c | 291.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wizards | 46c | 261.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Wizards | 47c | 249.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…b610backed Wizards | 49c | 205.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked 76ers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 120 | 63.3%76 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…4516backed 76ers | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed 76ers | 46c | 114.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…522bbacked Wizards | 47c | 112$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Wizards | 48c | 106.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Wizards | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed 76ers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Wizards | 47c | 89.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed 76ers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 47c | 50.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Wizards | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed 76ers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed 76ers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed 76ers | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Wizards | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed 76ers | 47c | 38.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked 76ers | 46c | 22.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)this page
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.