NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0297acc562742d147272d35f95a653906295badb18b037e33e785c94ad90481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Wizards, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked 76ers | 80c | 2,005$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Wizards | 20c | 805$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Wizards | 20c | 803.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 15c | 763.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked 76ers | 76c | 249.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Wizards | 24c | 212.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Wizards | 23c | 207.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 77c | 187$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Wizards | 20c | 167.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 77c | 142.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…3157backed Wizards | 22c | 138$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…11c8backed 76ers | 78c | 131$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…6bbebacked Wizards | 22c | 116$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers | 76c | 114.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…8d5ebacked 76ers | 78c | 108$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Wizards | 23c | 107.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Wizards | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Wizards | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Wizards | 23c | 80.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Wizards | 34c | 58.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 147 | 64.6%95 W · 52 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed 76ers | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers76ers won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.