TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Wizards52c24,243$12,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,566.142,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers48c19,182$9,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,974.61,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed 76ers49c6,782$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.0715549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards51c4,002$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.8366250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Wizards51c3,855$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.8322053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked 76ers49c3,333$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.8328850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards51c3,025$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.172,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers48c2,289$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.853,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed 76ers49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.6111142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers48c1,505$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Wizards51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9951753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked 76ers49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4086442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers48c627$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.042,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Wizards51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30625039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Wizards53c598.18$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Wizards52c589.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.840648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…8971backed 76ers48c544.13$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.731145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55f4…a7fdbacked 76ers49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers48c491$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed 76ers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5313041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed 76ers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.168247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Wizards54c361$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.944544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Wizards51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.534447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Wizards53c309.42$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9935651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Wizards53c290$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.723748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards49c280.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked 76ers47c249.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.498540%34 W · 51 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked 76ers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked 76ers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked 76ers50c201.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7815649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed 76ers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10047048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Wizards54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Wizards54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed 76ers48c152$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0425642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed Wizards54c141.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7612646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed 76ers49c129.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1314549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Wizards53c126.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6781845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed 76ers44c124.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7918554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Wizards53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Wizards51c105.87$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed 76ers49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5195548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Wizards53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5361253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Wizards54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5419951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Wizards51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5137357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Wizards53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.493,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Wizards51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed Wizards51c97.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Wizards53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Wizards54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e4…b6adbacked Wizards54c73.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5689…9422backed 76ers48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards51c67.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.361,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed 76ers47c63.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.872,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a07…6764backed 76ers49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers37c61.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.573,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Wizards52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.251651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8c…26e9backed Wizards51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked 76ers45c54.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked 76ers49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0215752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Wizards55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.512743.3%55 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Wizards26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.863745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Wizards52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2638845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed 76ers47c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Wizards53c43.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0611946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed 76ers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6712155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed 76ers49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8223642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Wizards25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109851%50 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked 76ers50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016849.4%83 W · 85 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf01…a3efbacked Wizards52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Wizards53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Wizards53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…79febacked Wizards53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked 76ers49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7323546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked 76ers51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3724423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked 76ers49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6124955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed Wizards52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…f12fbacked Wizards52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Wizards53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.95151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Wizards51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.315443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9027…6198backed 76ers51c29.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f63…2c66backed 76ers51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12db…7139backed 76ers51c26.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b6…9764backed 76ers51c25.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Wizards71c25.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8112156.2%68 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…f0cbbacked 76ers49c24.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.363842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x102d…1efabacked 76ers51c24.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfced…e20bbacked 76ers51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Wizards51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.736160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a4e…7e00backed Wizards54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Wizards51c21.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Wizards52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7811…371bbacked 76ers69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.