NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8687ae248199b5c5730d60e09503187529a9d22632a63805a18867474adfe1dc

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $79,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,240 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over	53c	24,746$13,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,066.51	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	47c	13,512$6,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,127.07	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Under	48c	8,905$4,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,587.94	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under	49c	8,107$3,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,134.38	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Over	35c	3,157$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	48c	2,684$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.86	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Over	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	125	55.2%69 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over	53c	1,943$1,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033.15	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	141	56%79 W · 62 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under	46c	1,648$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.85	256	42.6%109 W · 147 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	51c	1,215$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.76	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0c…cc5bbacked Under	51c	1,071$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.59	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under	46c	1,070$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.8	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	47c	955.52$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.61	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	51c	907$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.57	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under	47c	845$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.85	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x465a…88e5backed Under	51c	830$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.7	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c3…ee48backed Over	50c	665$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.45	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under	34c	550$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.5	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	49c	499.98$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.49	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over	53c	471.7$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	369	43.4%160 W · 209 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3685…0123backed Over	62c	311.68$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.69	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	50c	272$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Over	54c	250$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.75	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over	63c	250$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.5	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under	47c	250$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	107	35.5%38 W · 69 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1cb…85eebacked Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+56%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Under	50c	200.46$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c81…1056backed Over	50c	145$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	50c	144.68$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.34	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over	52c	130$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.6	701	53.5%375 W · 326 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117c…db06backed Over	53c	124.53$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over	52c	120.68$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	218	38.1%83 W · 135 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	35c	113.31$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.73	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Over	70c	102.1$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.47	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-9.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09e3…cf81backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	189	55%104 W · 85 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.28	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…129ebacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Under	46c	99.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf581…0892backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	47c	81.46$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.17	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under	47c	81$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.93	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under	48c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Under	47c	70$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.1	174	44.3%77 W · 97 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Over	54c	62.41$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.7	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	48c	58$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.16	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…6388backed Over	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	236	42.4%100 W · 136 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under	49c	40.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.98	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…4c7abacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xece8…4edbbacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19c9…2e09backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x225b…922ebacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-57%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	53c	30.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	415	56.9%236 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	70c	29.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	253	51%129 W · 124 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over	58c	25.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	173	50.9%88 W · 85 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	49c	23.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over	51c	23.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	48c	23.2$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.1	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	51c	20.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	362	48.9%177 W · 185 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e15…1afbbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc157…bd5cbacked Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	482	55%265 W · 217 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424b…ed19backed Over	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa848…68fcbacked Over	77c	15.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5this page
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)76ers won
Spread: 76ers (-13.5)76ers won
Wizards vs. 76ers76ers won
Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
Wizards vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event