MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c327821a418f5893fd3e8e5e717849cb287738e4a78fb2bc380c0ea11f4724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Phillies, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,341,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,347,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,341,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Reds | 48c | 1,041,904$498,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543,895.3 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 52c | 400,000$208,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,000 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 52c | 164,746$86,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,338.03 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Phillies | 52c | 125,555$65,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,288.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Phillies | 53c | 74,700$39,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,645 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 46c | 50,420$23,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,408.54 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Phillies | 42c | 50,000$20,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,998.79 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 53c | 37,231$19,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,632.17 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Phillies | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 52c | 33,084$17,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,203.68 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 52c | 31,952$16,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,614.82 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Phillies | 54c | 28,033$15,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,138.08 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Reds | 57c | 26,559$15,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,418.52 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Phillies | 52c | 25,500$13,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,259.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Phillies | 52c | 23,629$12,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,336.86 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Reds | 46c | 20,708$9,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,182.37 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Phillies | 52c | 19,912$10,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,354.48 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 53c | 15,861$8,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,417.46 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 48c | 15,481$7,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.3 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 52c | 13,946$7,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,252.13 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 52c | 12,400$6,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,448 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Phillies | 51c | 11,262$5,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,743.66 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 49c | 10,418$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,313.18 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 55c | 10,000$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Phillies | 53c | 9,078$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.35 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 47c | 8,860$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.38 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 58c | 8,829$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.89 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 53c | 7,950$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 54c | 7,420$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.1 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Reds | 46c | 6,696$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.65 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 51c | 6,018$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Phillies | 54c | 5,704$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Reds | 45c | 5,511$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.31 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Phillies | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 58c | 4,861$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 54c | 4,522$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.05 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Phillies | 52c | 4,360$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.2 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Phillies | 52c | 4,243$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.18 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 53c | 3,932$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.86 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Phillies | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 54c | 2,500$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.83 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 58c | 2,379$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.31 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52da…c1f6backed Reds | 44c | 2,238$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Reds | 69c | 2,149$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.46 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Reds | 47c | 2,132$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.97 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…89babacked Phillies | 56c | 2,095$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Reds | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Phillies | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…a661backed Phillies | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Phillies | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…1a4cbacked Reds | 44c | 1,857$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 2c | 1,841$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Phillies | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Phillies | 54c | 1,347$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.35 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Phillies | 53c | 1,275$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 50c | 1,176$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d7…6f3ebacked Reds | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Reds | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…daebbacked Phillies | 56c | 1,080$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Phillies | 52c | 1,059$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…ebf8backed Phillies | 56c | 1,020$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Phillies | 44c | 1,018$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.43 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…a38cbacked Reds | 44c | 964$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…5574backed Reds | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Reds | 48c | 909.93$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.92 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Phillies | 54c | 896.24$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.97 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 48c | 829.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.08 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Phillies | 51c | 791.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Phillies | 55c | 746.13$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.37 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…975dbacked Phillies | 43c | 694.67$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Reds | 48c | 630$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 52c | 627.87$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 56c | 626.76$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.42 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Phillies | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 56c | 531.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.82 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Phillies | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 2c | 490.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 35c | 482.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.69 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 52c | 481.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 55c | 445.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Reds | 46c | 389.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 43c | 385.34$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Phillies | 47c | 385$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 43c | 363.18$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.01 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Reds | 72c | 348.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Phillies | 53c | 323.09$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 62c | 314.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…088bbacked Reds | 46c | 304.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ef…7573backed Phillies | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Phillies | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.