MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32ef5c0f8252d44bb035b752a40e46e76bb158eacff7371a9167db86fdc8fee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Orioles | 54c | 42,579$22,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,884.77 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 47c | 31,492$14,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,691 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 27c | 28,191$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594.42 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rangers | 75c | 26,893$20,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,767.43 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 35c | 10,508$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…ed07backed Rangers | 45c | 9,995$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…9ba7backed Orioles | 55c | 9,995$5,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,497.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Orioles | 51c | 7,523$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.05 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 48c | 6,367$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.68 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 54c | 5,386$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.63 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Rangers | 72c | 4,509$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.58 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rangers | 48c | 3,681$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.12 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef31…c646backed Orioles | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rangers | 48c | 3,526$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.55 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 63c | 3,371$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.07 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers | 57c | 3,158$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.13 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rangers | 69c | 3,133$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.09 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 46c | 3,072$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.92 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 26c | 3,000$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Orioles | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 30c | 2,866$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.09 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Rangers | 43c | 2,797$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.4 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rangers | 44c | 2,785$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.55 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 45c | 2,450$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 39c | 2,423$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.01 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rangers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Orioles | 55c | 2,095$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.72 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb08…c038backed Rangers | 45c | 2,020$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…35a4backed Rangers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…7bb1backed Rangers | 45c | 1,889$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rangers | 45c | 1,777$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.6 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 58c | 1,708$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.65 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rangers | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 18c | 1,560$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rangers | 65c | 1,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.43 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Rangers | 45c | 1,328$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…11b6backed Rangers | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce7…8d2ebacked Rangers | 45c | 1,198$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Rangers | 50c | 1,197$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.16 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…108bbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,188$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers | 47c | 1,113$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.48 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…9545backed Orioles | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Rangers | 37c | 1,097$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.72 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…0ad5backed Orioles | 55c | 1,073$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 41c | 1,071$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Rangers | 45c | 1,062$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.24 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.64 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rangers | 60c | 1,000$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rangers | 48c | 992.28$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.99 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…4893backed Orioles | 55c | 962$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers | 46c | 950.29$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.16 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Orioles | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…f937backed Orioles | 55c | 927$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…3641backed Orioles | 55c | 927$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…0a1dbacked Orioles | 55c | 909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Orioles | 55c | 799.67$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 57c | 773.15$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.57 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 25c | 748.13$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.63 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Orioles | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 39c | 655$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 50c | 652.74$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.14 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…1e7dbacked Rangers | 67c | 635.07$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 30c | 623$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Orioles | 56c | 586.71$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 44c | 576.37$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Orioles | 56c | 537.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Rangers | 66c | 528.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Orioles | 56c | 509.5$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Rangers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Rangers | 42c | 462.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers | 49c | 419.07$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rangers | 45c | 388.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 47c | 385.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.87 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Orioles | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 41c | 370.17$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Orioles | 54c | 369.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 20c | 356.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Orioles | 54c | 346$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Rangers | 66c | 335.77$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Orioles | 30c | 333.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Orioles | 48c | 308.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Rangers | 45c | 298.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers | 45c | 286$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Rangers | 45c | 284.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Rangers | 44c | 265.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Rangers | 77c | 260.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Orioles | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Rangers | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 52c | 249.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Orioles | 58c | 245.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 34c | 243$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Orioles | 42c | 227.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rangers | 45c | 222.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.62 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rangers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 5c | 212$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 52c | 208.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 53c | 203.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Orioles | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.