TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,438,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,509,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,438,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 769 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Pacers32c210,664$67,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,305.715443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Bucks68c120,110$81,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,486.7436148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Bucks68c102,000$69,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,64020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers32c74,746$23,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,862.662,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df0…8f4ebacked Pacers0c56,070$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.072025%5 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks69c51,052$35,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,036.5885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pacers14c50,000$7,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,148.9538248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…c1efbacked Pacers34c43,604$14,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,799.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Bucks68c40,184$27,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,858.947149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Pacers32c40,184$12,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,858.923748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a21…d307backed Bucks77c40,000$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,200650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks78c32,236$25,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,935.7734062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Bucks67c29,475$19,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,676.725350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Pacers19c24,179$4,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,603.2647448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Pacers34c24,000$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,159.538939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Pacers32c23,356$7,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,559.0871052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks68c22,615$15,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,186.1669852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Pacers23c22,391$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,139.5514856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc229…b12fbacked Pacers1c21,647$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.47540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Bucks68c15,916$10,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,093.186155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Pacers33c15,758$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2007142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pacers27c15,572$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.726038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Bucks66c15,150$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,150.953759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Bucks67c15,000$10,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.955942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Bucks69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.7548448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Pacers1c12,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Pacers21c10,025$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.512334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pacers32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9934645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers31c9,766$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.8974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Bucks67c9,671$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.4311741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Bucks68c9,306$6,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.197739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Bucks68c8,504$5,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.437468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Pacers32c7,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.9924330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers23c7,699$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.972,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Bucks72c7,297$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.162365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks64c7,079$4,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.561,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2669…ac68backed Pacers36c6,751$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.511442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pacers31c6,729$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.92,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bucks67c6,608$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.1955346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Pacers32c6,389$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.0612160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Pacers6c6,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40039018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers23c5,800$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.643,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks67c5,752$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers26c5,565$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Pacers31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55010041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Bucks68c4,412$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.7676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8563…f21ebacked Bucks69c4,348$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Pacers17c4,297$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.9820034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers6c4,178$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.322,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Bucks70c4,143$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.869652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Bucks63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48040648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pacers31c3,740$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.2895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Bucks67c3,725$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.6333743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Pacers24c3,306$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Pacers30c3,186$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.5738151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…632cbacked Pacers33c3,074$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers32c3,050$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9761,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pacers33c3,031$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Pacers33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de4…ca53backed Bucks69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9301361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91f6…6156backed Pacers31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Pacers19c2,820$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.8935532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers20c2,816$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c9…b44ebacked Bucks74c2,781$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers28c2,666$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a38…3ddcbacked Bucks68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Pacers32c2,499$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.7816446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Pacers30c2,352$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Pacers10c2,310$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.542845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks75c2,304$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.0634852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b6…a912backed Bucks78c2,291$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9bc…45c3backed Pacers32c2,250$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7303336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Bucks68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8827158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Bucks67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed Pacers33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Bucks68c1,988$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6362035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers41c1,969$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf596…7745backed Bucks68c1,966$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Pacers31c1,928$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pacers33c1,900$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.214245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7a…e8f5backed Pacers32c1,848$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+71.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers14c1,809$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.311,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pacers31c1,716$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Pacers24c1,637$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.336147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f22…61eabacked Bucks68c1,600$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8abd…a8c8backed Pacers33c1,600$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa50…81f9backed Pacers34c1,578$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Bucks70c1,500$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7931347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bucks68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48010852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9cf…9527backed Bucks69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pacers32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…fc66backed Bucks68c1,476$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081c…ac40backed Pacers32c1,325$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…780bbacked Bucks69c1,322$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks66c1,322$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e20…8e0ebacked Pacers33c1,308$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.535030%15 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks80c1,290$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25836057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers25c1,279$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.51,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.