NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x461bc99cf3a7d76bd9fd52ab850d62d1d985cee88b940c80ae9888a94176e83b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,022,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,187,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,022,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cd…0273backed Thunder | 67c | 1,000,000$670,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329,999.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Pacers | 33c | 330,000$108,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,899.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers | 37c | 202,423$74,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,095.27 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…bc10backed Pacers | 33c | 200,115$66,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,037.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Thunder | 67c | 200,000$134,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,999.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Pacers | 33c | 175,391$57,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,879.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Thunder | 68c | 168,813$114,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,487.31 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Pacers | 36c | 157,005$56,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,121.49 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Pacers | 42c | 147,879$62,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,113.16 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Thunder | 67c | 119,000$79,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,270 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 67c | 102,999$69,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,989.82 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pacers | 25c | 102,904$25,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,642.68 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 67c | 97,869$65,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,296.71 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 67c | 88,000$58,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,040 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 67c | 78,626$52,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,844.35 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Pacers | 32c | 73,171$23,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,514.04 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers | 46c | 71,504$32,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,754.24 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Pacers | 43c | 67,245$28,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,697.87 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Thunder | 68c | 59,194$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,193.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 67c | 56,923$38,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,729.06 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 67c | 52,748$35,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,602.94 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Pacers | 39c | 51,959$20,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,066.01 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 68c | 44,000$29,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,080 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 67c | 34,200$22,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,285.99 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Pacers | 41c | 34,125$13,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,937.41 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Pacers | 36c | 33,531$12,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,207.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Thunder | 67c | 31,547$21,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,410.6 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers | 32c | 31,244$10,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,069.87 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 65c | 29,999$19,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,416.54 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Thunder | 67c | 29,851$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,850.75 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers | 57c | 29,578$16,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,792.39 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 20c | 27,575$5,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,619.12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers | 47c | 26,864$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Pacers | 34c | 23,723$7,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,977.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 66c | 22,793$14,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,810.5 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Pacers | 32c | 22,034$7,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050.75 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…7292backed Thunder | 67c | 21,920$14,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,233.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Thunder | 67c | 21,139$14,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,975.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pacers | 39c | 20,829$8,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,135.93 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Pacers | 34c | 20,000$6,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Thunder | 51c | 19,999$10,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,707.04 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed Thunder | 57c | 17,896$10,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,622.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Thunder | 67c | 17,175$11,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,667.63 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 35c | 15,999$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.43 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Thunder | 68c | 15,850$10,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Pacers | 33c | 15,152$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Pacers | 1c | 15,119$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 33c | 15,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.99 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Pacers | 58c | 14,715$8,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,534.7 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Pacers | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 67c | 14,423$9,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.51 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Pacers | 33c | 13,925$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.31 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers | 44c | 13,800$6,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.95 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Thunder | 42c | 13,378$5,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.91 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Thunder | 67c | 13,000$8,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Pacers | 49c | 12,748$6,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,234.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 54c | 12,458$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,707.32 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…bee1backed Pacers | 0c | 12,040$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers | 61c | 11,993$7,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,354.64 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 35c | 11,459$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Pacers | 37c | 11,000$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Pacers | 40c | 10,905$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Pacers | 37c | 10,885$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985.5 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Thunder | 66c | 10,756$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 35c | 10,313$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,703.32 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Pacers | 43c | 10,000$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.12 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…229abacked Pacers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…0536backed Pacers | 47c | 9,535$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.83 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Pacers | 33c | 8,888$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.04 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Thunder | 68c | 8,703$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Thunder | 67c | 8,439$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Thunder | 67c | 8,200$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.97 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers | 1c | 7,740$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Pacers | 46c | 7,489$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.84 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…8afbbacked Thunder | 54c | 7,378$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Thunder | 68c | 7,280$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.6 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Pacers | 40c | 7,259$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.58 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Thunder | 64c | 7,010$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Thunder | 71c | 6,867$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.68 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Thunder | 67c | 6,790$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.83 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Pacers | 32c | 6,787$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…c594backed Thunder | 61c | 6,714$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Pacers | 44c | 6,678$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.98 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Pacers | 32c | 6,666$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 67c | 6,352$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.85 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0144…86f5backed Thunder | 48c | 6,350$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Pacers | 37c | 6,298$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.21 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 66c | 6,205$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.86 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Pacers | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Thunder | 35c | 6,000$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.96 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Pacers | 64c | 5,981$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Thunder | 63c | 5,980$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.67 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Pacers | 34c | 5,971$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…d17abacked Pacers | 34c | 5,500$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Thunder | 67c | 5,357$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.46 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Thunder | 68c | 5,114$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.49 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 35c | 5,100$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Thunder | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Pacersthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Pacers won
- Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.