NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x553438f8cd98ff35a0fc365c4dec7dc1a2c4876ab0cc309e7a7826e172e5ad7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Pacers | 51c | 4,809$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.47 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Pacers | 71c | 4,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bulls | 34c | 2,999$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.5 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Pacers | 54c | 2,551$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.15 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Pacers | 42c | 2,380$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.4 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Pacers | 48c | 1,731$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.96 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Pacers | 60c | 1,650$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Bulls | 62c | 1,620$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.56 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…058cbacked Pacers | 65c | 1,260$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4743backed Bulls | 35c | 1,260$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls | 41c | 1,221$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.9 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Pacers | 24c | 1,101$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bulls | 66c | 933.97$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Bulls | 53c | 883.62$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.55 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Bulls | 41c | 800.07$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.04 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 40c | 770$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Bulls | 40c | 749.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Bulls | 56c | 577.66$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.27 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Pacers | 39c | 541.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…229ebacked Bulls | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Pacers | 64c | 499.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Bulls | 39c | 477.03$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Bulls | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Pacers | 60c | 399.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bulls | 38c | 367.1$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 52c | 339.04$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Bulls | 73c | 329.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bulls | 35c | 326.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.13 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pacers | 60c | 301.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.04 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Pacers | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Bulls | 36c | 294.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.34 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Bulls | 60c | 262$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Pacers | 60c | 257.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Pacers | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Bulls | 57c | 252$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pacers | 60c | 251.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Bulls | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Bulls | 50c | 234.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bulls | 43c | 233.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bulls | 38c | 227.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls | 44c | 227.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Pacers | 52c | 204.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bulls | 42c | 196.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Pacers | 54c | 190.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Bulls | 51c | 190.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…6040backed Pacers | 68c | 176.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Pacers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 39c | 156.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Bulls | 70c | 155.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Bulls | 77c | 152.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Pacers | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Pacers | 61c | 130.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Bulls | 40c | 125.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Pacers | 37c | 108.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…d669backed Bulls | 56c | 107.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Bulls | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…dc6fbacked Bulls | 73c | 100.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…7f38backed Pacers | 65c | 100.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bulls | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…bf0bbacked Bulls | 36c | 98.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Bulls | 27c | 93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Bulls | 38c | 89.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Pacers | 66c | 88.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Pacers | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Pacers | 67c | 74.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…73f4backed Pacers | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…86dabacked Bulls | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Pacers | 55c | 65.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Pacers | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Pacers | 60c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Bulls | 59c | 60.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Pacers | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Pacers | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Bulls | 34c | 58.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Pacers | 60c | 56.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Pacers | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…7b2cbacked Pacers | 51c | 50.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Pacers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Bulls | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Bulls | 34c | 49.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…2a69backed Pacers | 68c | 47.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Bulls | 42c | 47.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Pacers | 70c | 42.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bulls | 57c | 42.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Pacers | 64c | 40.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Bulls | 41c | 40.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Pacers | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ef…7573backed Bulls | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacers | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…054abacked Bulls | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed Bulls | 66c | 38.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Pacers | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Bulls | 28c | 36.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…817ebacked Pacers | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7c…d300backed Bulls | 35c | 34.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7b41backed Pacers | 65c | 33.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…a5c4backed Pacers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Pacers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.