TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61bf…647ebacked Rockets36c89,718$32,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,673.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Hawks64c88,517$56,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,195.4120248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks70c44,262$30,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,322.151,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets30c43,305$13,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,123.51,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockets42c10,914$4,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,623.2433746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Hawks54c7,226$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,320.714052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9454…6d22backed Rockets43c5,383$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.052748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Hawks50c5,267$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.146245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Hawks63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hawks64c4,973$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.8984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawks65c3,596$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.1922458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Rockets56c3,399$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.15054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Hawks64c3,113$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.411752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Hawks64c2,845$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.9317658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked Rockets36c2,777$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Hawks69c2,761$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.549744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Hawks65c2,600$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9910058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockets63c2,377$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.4818146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Rockets36c2,128$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.9424151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691d…2086backed Hawks61c1,997$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4356…181dbacked Rockets39c1,900$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…9a99backed Rockets39c1,900$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x834b…1f64backed Hawks61c1,803$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Rockets57c1,642$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.0212254.9%67 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hawks67c1,440$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6336748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a85…08bdbacked Rockets35c1,420$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f5…951cbacked Hawks59c1,320$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.2560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4d…9871backed Rockets41c1,320$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Rockets37c1,307$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48725248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockets39c1,297$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Hawks28c1,130$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7716919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Hawks64c1,031$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.433458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockets46c1,023$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.452536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rockets37c1,014$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.2260834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Rockets40c1,002$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Hawks65c730.6$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7312657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Hawks61c725.65$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.218856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Rockets35c662.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Rockets35c648.68$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Rockets35c583.65$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2810643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Hawks62c561.39$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.393151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca8…3e59backed Hawks45c529.49$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.751947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Rockets36c520.12$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18511352.2%59 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Hawks65c502.76$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.996631.8%21 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rockets33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16515653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Rockets34c500$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Hawks59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9963555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcf…c26fbacked Rockets38c468.08$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.343060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Rockets35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockets35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rockets39c385$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.296947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Rockets34c350.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2913248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockets38c295.41$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3846342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockets34c294.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2916361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Rockets35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Rockets30c273.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.982650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Hawks63c273.02$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…c05fbacked Rockets30c271.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.591656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Hawks67c269.33$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0716563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockets41c259.02$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062763%17 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockets38c249.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.92,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4917…16dabacked Rockets41c243.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Rockets39c240.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.641861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Rockets37c239.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.783461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Rockets55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13026233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Hawks21c227.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.443545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks60c220.34$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.581,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30be…3566backed Rockets41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Rockets42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9f…8483backed Rockets41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf716…c440backed Rockets42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x386c…bc0dbacked Hawks60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c2…0705backed Rockets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8a…1a07backed Hawks58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5322…6b5fbacked Hawks60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5070…0039backed Rockets41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ee…7fb2backed Rockets42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbe…fbe3backed Hawks59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4f…2737backed Rockets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…18cfbacked Rockets41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd5…a72abacked Hawks59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf129…ed65backed Hawks58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0669…8717backed Hawks60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc909…6393backed Rockets41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa51b…8938backed Rockets41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7811…36d3backed Rockets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…9abcbacked Hawks59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafbd…67aebacked Rockets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb75…bd65backed Rockets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1379backed Hawks59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+51.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc249…06b5backed Rockets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97b2…88d1backed Rockets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a5…81f4backed Hawks59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822035%7 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e57…836cbacked Hawks58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…8149backed Hawks60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…43dfbacked Rockets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfcd…7ec6backed Hawks60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc0…8c53backed Rockets41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.