MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c62580b1f2f3afd23cce5a9338272904ba1cc8366413113632ac9798449730a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 48c | 24,377$11,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,701.08 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Sox | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Red Sox | 58c | 17,371$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,370.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 42c | 14,215$5,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,970.18 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 42c | 13,420$5,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,662.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Red Sox | 70c | 12,436$8,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.22 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 45c | 6,935$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.01 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 56c | 6,326$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.8 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 23c | 5,607$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.44 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…6f17backed Red Sox | 51c | 5,152$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Red Sox | 75c | 3,938$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.14 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 3,856$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.15 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Red Sox | 73c | 3,200$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 1c | 2,513$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Nationals | 17c | 2,400$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.95 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 48c | 2,354$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…6cf8backed Red Sox | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,908$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.52 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 1c | 1,814$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…7a5ebacked Nationals | 49c | 1,759$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…cf6ebacked Nationals | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…0b33backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Nationals | 50c | 1,474$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Nationals | 48c | 1,474$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.42 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Nationals | 13c | 1,340$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…acf4backed Nationals | 49c | 1,301$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…5d54backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,290$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 1c | 1,271$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Red Sox | 71c | 1,268$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.61 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Red Sox | 75c | 1,223$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.4 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…1a54backed Nationals | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Nationals | 28c | 1,091$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.82 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,047$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.94 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…7e7fbacked Nationals | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nationals | 36c | 1,019$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.3 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Red Sox | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Red Sox | 52c | 949.37$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.7 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…bea2backed Red Sox | 51c | 902$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 49c | 895.37$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.73 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…ed6dbacked Nationals | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…f09dbacked Nationals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…a60bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 798$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Red Sox | 58c | 682.84$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 52c | 655.7$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.98 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nationals | 48c | 603.87$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed Red Sox | 52c | 581.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Nationals | 49c | 577.55$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Nationals | 50c | 573.02$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.51 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 41c | 531.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…0727backed Nationals | 49c | 528.08$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Nationals | 50c | 526.27$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.09 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Nationals | 49c | 510.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Red Sox | 79c | 507.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…c6adbacked Nationals | 4c | 389.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Red Sox | 52c | 383.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.07 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Red Sox | 74c | 343.66$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 49c | 326$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Red Sox | 52c | 316.54$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 48c | 299.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nationals | 50c | 292.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox | 50c | 272$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 49c | 258.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Red Sox | 51c | 254.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Nationals | 50c | 246.44$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 50c | 220.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Red Sox | 74c | 219.14$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…33d6backed Nationals | 50c | 215.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 51c | 195.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 193.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 49c | 182.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…08f2backed Nationals | 50c | 182$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Red Sox | 52c | 182$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…9d71backed Nationals | 50c | 160.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Nationals | 49c | 149.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Red Sox | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 144.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Nationals | 50c | 140.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Red Sox | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Red Sox | 50c | 120.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Red Sox | 57c | 110.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Red Sox | 80c | 104.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Nationals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…73f4backed Nationals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Nationals | 49c | 99.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Red Sox | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ef…7573backed Red Sox | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 49c | 96.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1,091 | 46.3%505 W · 586 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c5…8866backed Red Sox | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.