NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e9702fbf17d12554a0bb65c08347aa9c716f4480ef0cdef9658eecade3057b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Timberwolves, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,383,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,266,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,383,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 685 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed63…9d75backed Timberwolves | 0c | 614,960$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Thunder | 72c | 213,727$154,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,226.46 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Timberwolves | 26c | 196,457$51,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,546.6 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Timberwolves | 26c | 106,696$27,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,741 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Thunder | 73c | 101,430$74,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,143.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves | 18c | 78,282$14,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,090.78 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 73,129$19,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,144.98 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Timberwolves | 13c | 64,508$8,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,228.56 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 63,485$17,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,775.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Timberwolves | 28c | 57,173$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Thunder | 73c | 41,769$30,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,244.26 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 72c | 39,075$28,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,848 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Timberwolves | 27c | 33,909$9,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,155.45 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 74c | 30,642$22,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,973.2 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 72c | 29,000$20,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,069.89 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 26,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Timberwolves | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Timberwolves | 19c | 25,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Timberwolves | 2c | 24,932$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.2 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 24,800$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Timberwolves | 25c | 20,188$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.1 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Thunder | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Timberwolves | 15c | 19,926$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.19 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Timberwolves | 16c | 19,810$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.14 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…7ddbbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 19,477$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Thunder | 73c | 18,093$13,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Timberwolves | 3c | 16,663$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.63 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Timberwolves | 5c | 16,525$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.71 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 15,871$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Thunder | 74c | 15,500$11,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 26c | 15,500$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Timberwolves | 5c | 15,000$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.57 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Timberwolves | 25c | 14,822$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.03 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Thunder | 74c | 14,091$10,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 75c | 13,749$10,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…7afcbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 12,641$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Thunder | 73c | 12,325$8,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.77 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 6c | 11,363$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0662…5511backed Thunder | 74c | 11,096$8,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Timberwolves | 6c | 11,094$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.69 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 77c | 10,683$8,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.05 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 10,675$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 74c | 10,661$7,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.84 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder | 74c | 10,437$7,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.74 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 27c | 10,421$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.29 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Timberwolves | 20c | 10,078$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.69 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 27c | 10,000$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.99 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07b4backed Timberwolves | 23c | 9,379$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Timberwolves | 26c | 8,909$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.27 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Timberwolves | 2c | 8,891$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.51 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Timberwolves | 3c | 8,832$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.55 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 74c | 8,586$6,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.24 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 73c | 8,123$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.06 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Timberwolves | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…0adabacked Timberwolves | 26c | 7,927$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 7,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 75c | 7,478$5,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.13 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 7,446$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.92 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Timberwolves | 8c | 7,391$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.29 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Timberwolves | 25c | 7,318$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.26 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 74c | 6,835$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Timberwolves | 27c | 6,652$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.01 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Timberwolves | 25c | 6,338$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…748bbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 6,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Timberwolves | 20c | 6,118$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.86 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…ae48backed Timberwolves | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Timberwolves | 4c | 5,967$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.63 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Thunder | 78c | 5,650$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.41 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 5,472$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.05 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Timberwolves | 6c | 5,462$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.19 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…c81dbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 5,337$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 73c | 5,296$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.82 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Thunder | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Timberwolves | 8c | 4,930$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.32 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed Timberwolves | 10c | 4,879$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Timberwolves | 27c | 4,702$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.54 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Thunder | 78c | 4,587$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.87 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Timberwolves | 25c | 4,491$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.82 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Timberwolves | 21c | 4,142$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed Timberwolves | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Thunder | 77c | 3,411$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.78 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…ca83backed Timberwolves | 28c | 3,354$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Thunder | 75c | 3,321$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.51 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Timberwolves | 11c | 3,047$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.78 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…c3c2backed Timberwolves | 22c | 3,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Timberwolves | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Timberwolves | 3c | 2,900$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Timberwolves | 19c | 2,894$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.93 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Timberwolves | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Timberwolves | 16c | 2,616$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.72 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 73c | 2,604$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.04 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Timberwolves | 12c | 2,558$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…b6fdbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 2,404$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves | 9c | 2,323$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.34 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Timberwolves | 1c | 2,090$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 73c | 2,080$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.92 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 2,036$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Thunderthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Thunder won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.