NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7763ad63e86d0be1b647c1bab8a1783e3e524c48d72325dc5a4badfb68734b56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Suns, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Suns | 52c | 13,934$7,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,230.59 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 5,222$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.83 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Suns | 25c | 4,270$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.45 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 3,264$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.92 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Suns | 30c | 3,262$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.45 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Timberwolves | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 2,970$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.75 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Suns | 24c | 2,915$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Timberwolves | 70c | 2,696$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.61 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,568$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.82 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Suns | 30c | 2,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Suns | 35c | 2,256$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 55c | 2,241$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Suns | 28c | 2,125$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Timberwolves | 73c | 2,025$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Suns | 54c | 1,810$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Timberwolves | 75c | 1,784$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.93 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 1,759$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.29 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,472$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.91 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,470$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Timberwolves | 58c | 1,128$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.25 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Suns | 34c | 1,049$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.61 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns | 52c | 853.24$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.81 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Suns | 27c | 699.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Suns | 25c | 693.81$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Timberwolves | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Timberwolves | 74c | 581.08$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Timberwolves | 75c | 579.15$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Timberwolves | 42c | 567.72$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.84 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Timberwolves | 29c | 551.96$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.97 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Timberwolves | 38c | 501.04$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.8 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Suns | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Timberwolves | 40c | 496.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 481.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.07 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Timberwolves | 41c | 465.78$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Timberwolves | 74c | 459.42$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Timberwolves | 66c | 449.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.84 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 441.86$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Suns | 27c | 430.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Suns | 71c | 420$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 405$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Suns | 70c | 396.3$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Suns | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Timberwolves | 73c | 380$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Timberwolves | 77c | 326.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 325.26$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Timberwolves | 74c | 323.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Suns | 60c | 316.87$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Timberwolves | 72c | 299.62$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 296$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Suns | 61c | 287.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Suns | 33c | 284.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Timberwolves | 46c | 283.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Timberwolves | 36c | 270.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Timberwolves | 60c | 254.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 237.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Timberwolves | 50c | 217.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Suns | 45c | 215.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 209.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…3e93backed Timberwolves | 63c | 189.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Timberwolves | 69c | 157.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Suns | 24c | 157.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Suns | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Timberwolves | 28c | 144.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 143.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 141.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 27c | 137.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Timberwolves | 76c | 133.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Timberwolves | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Timberwolves | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…ac1dbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Suns | 60c | 127$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Suns | 63c | 115.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…ef3ebacked Suns | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Suns | 47c | 111.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Suns | 72c | 109.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…9f64backed Suns | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Suns | 62c | 102.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Timberwolves | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Timberwolves | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Timberwolves | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Timberwolves | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…befcbacked Suns | 26c | 95.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 93.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…054abacked Timberwolves | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…4adabacked Timberwolves | 69c | 88.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Timberwolves | 72c | 86.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Suns | 61c | 82.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Timberwolves | 71c | 78.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Suns | 65c | 78.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Suns | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Timberwolves | 28c | 74.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Suns | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Suns | 64c | 70.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Suns | 70c | 69.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.