MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ec61ed7fa84ff499b0a4192326126898ebe68bb17cd88e4d04eb62a022a296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Padres, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $975,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,061,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $975,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 52c | 189,048$97,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,392.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Padres | 49c | 150,134$73,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,064.27 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Padres | 46c | 113,383$52,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,155.97 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 36c | 102,347$37,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,103.69 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Cubs | 54c | 72,785$39,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,561.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Cubs | 54c | 70,671$38,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,508.75 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…8d0cbacked Cubs | 53c | 68,008$35,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,223.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Padres | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 45c | 29,900$13,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,601.82 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Padres | 48c | 27,733$13,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,311.67 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Padres | 47c | 23,687$11,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,133 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Padres | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.99 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 54c | 15,084$8,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,938.7 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cubs | 53c | 14,236$7,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.8 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 55c | 13,592$7,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,131.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Padres | 46c | 11,114$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.14 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Padres | 48c | 10,690$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.2 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 54c | 10,611$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,881.06 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Padres | 27c | 10,392$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.84 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 24c | 9,599$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 48c | 9,495$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 48c | 9,248$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.04 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cubs | 52c | 8,493$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.49 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 52c | 8,226$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.08 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Padres | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Cubs | 55c | 6,364$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cubs | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…d518backed Cubs | 52c | 5,934$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Cubs | 51c | 5,424$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Padres | 48c | 5,152$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.1 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Cubs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.26 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Cubs | 53c | 4,751$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.38 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Padres | 46c | 4,300$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.55 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cubs | 60c | 4,273$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…9c76backed Padres | 48c | 4,205$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…5f9abacked Padres | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Padres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 71c | 3,867$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…107ebacked Padres | 48c | 3,803$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…bfdfbacked Cubs | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Padres | 46c | 3,728$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.11 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…6b6abacked Cubs | 53c | 3,600$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Cubs | 65c | 3,580$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.04 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…b3fdbacked Padres | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…743dbacked Padres | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…03b6backed Cubs | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 46c | 3,401$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.37 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Padres | 48c | 2,906$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fe…41fbbacked Cubs | 53c | 2,850$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Cubs | 51c | 2,767$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…160abacked Padres | 47c | 2,618$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…a715backed Padres | 47c | 2,544$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Padres | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Cubs | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb39…d182backed Cubs | 54c | 2,404$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 37c | 2,346$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.83 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…8534backed Cubs | 54c | 2,335$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 53c | 2,292$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.47 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 47c | 2,194$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.31 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…01cbbacked Cubs | 54c | 2,154$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 46c | 2,025$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.21 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Padres | 49c | 1,929$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…14fcbacked Cubs | 80c | 1,918$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 1c | 1,910$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Cubs | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Padres | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Cubs | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cubs | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Padres | 46c | 1,735$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.94 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…d5bdbacked Padres | 46c | 1,731$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…0ca8backed Cubs | 55c | 1,718$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…c175backed Padres | 46c | 1,718$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…9081backed Cubs | 53c | 1,633$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 43c | 1,528$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Padres | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Cubs | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Padres | 40c | 1,487$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Padres | 47c | 1,463$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.3 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…be4ebacked Padres | 48c | 1,437$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Cubs | 39c | 1,405$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.44 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Cubs | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Cubs | 51c | 1,330$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 51c | 1,300$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.94 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe82…b084backed Cubs | 53c | 1,255$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Padres | 19c | 1,187$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cubs | 36c | 1,169$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.16 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Padres | 49c | 1,029$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.14 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cubs | 78c | 1,012$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Padres | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Padres | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Padres | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Cubs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cubs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Padres | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cubs | 53c | 1,000$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Cubsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.