NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x233dd2af605bc2a254726ffdb3f6055acbff6b8964cecb756d6cda0cdf7e826b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,529,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,664,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,529,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 927 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Thunder | 63c | 372,636$235,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235,345.04 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Thunder | 63c | 300,947$188,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,647.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Thunder | 53c | 221,833$116,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,974.67 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Nuggets | 36c | 208,220$74,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,615.09 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Nuggets | 38c | 168,712$63,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,830.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Nuggets | 40c | 145,680$58,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,467.98 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 38c | 130,107$48,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,232.89 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 62c | 113,897$70,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,772.39 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Nuggets | 50c | 102,866$51,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,352.39 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets | 38c | 93,915$35,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,227.56 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Thunder | 62c | 82,555$51,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,244.75 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 62c | 80,000$49,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,899.87 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 42c | 79,838$33,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,327.73 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nuggets | 57c | 74,894$42,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,984.92 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 63c | 67,172$42,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,613.02 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Nuggets | 38c | 52,720$20,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,492.94 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Nuggets | 44c | 50,850$22,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,520.62 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 63c | 50,000$31,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,250.83 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Nuggets | 37c | 47,650$17,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,019.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Thunder | 33c | 38,984$12,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,676.8 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 66c | 38,882$25,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,524.12 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 38c | 38,455$14,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,650.13 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 64c | 31,454$20,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,130.52 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nuggets | 38c | 27,216$10,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,917.11 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 54c | 26,453$14,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,306.71 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Thunder | 11c | 23,091$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.7 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 36c | 18,810$6,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,083.49 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Thunder | 80c | 18,315$14,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,586.31 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Thunder | 65c | 16,589$10,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,782.6 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 46c | 16,160$7,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,422.26 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Thunder | 1c | 15,815$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Nuggets | 38c | 15,792$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,788.49 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Thunder | 64c | 15,500$9,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,919.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 62c | 15,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,249.92 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Thunder | 1c | 14,775$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 31c | 14,090$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,663.06 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 35c | 14,027$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,062.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…305fbacked Nuggets | 37c | 13,484$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,494.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 63c | 12,771$8,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,045.5 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 54c | 11,639$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.47 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 35c | 11,361$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,361.26 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Thunder | 64c | 11,356$7,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,267.68 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 41c | 11,333$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,688.31 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Thunder | 64c | 10,945$7,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,004.61 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Nuggets | 36c | 10,445$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,663.81 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Nuggets | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Thunder | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…0bc4backed Thunder | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…9a55backed Thunder | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 63c | 10,000$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,349.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 35c | 9,454$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.63 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Nuggets | 38c | 9,250$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740.93 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Nuggets | 49c | 9,122$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.91 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Thunder | 63c | 8,576$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,403 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 62c | 8,517$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.24 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Thunder | 30c | 8,506$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Thunder | 62c | 8,242$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Nuggets | 44c | 7,834$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.98 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Thunder | 0c | 7,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 62c | 7,428$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.91 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Thunder | 19c | 7,368$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Thunder | 5c | 7,221$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.85 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Nuggets | 63c | 6,684$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.29 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Thunder | 57c | 6,677$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.36 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Nuggets | 37c | 6,216$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Nuggets | 36c | 6,178$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.77 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Thunder | 64c | 6,156$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.92 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 65c | 5,811$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.92 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 5,730$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.08 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 37c | 5,555$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.65 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nuggets | 36c | 5,500$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Nuggets | 36c | 5,336$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Nuggets | 37c | 5,323$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.49 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…454bbacked Nuggets | 37c | 5,302$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Thunder | 1c | 5,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 30c | 4,993$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Nuggets | 60c | 4,796$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,774$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.34 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Thunder | 56c | 4,728$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Nuggets | 78c | 4,542$3,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Thunder | 15c | 4,322$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.07 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Nuggets | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.05 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…b886backed Nuggets | 37c | 4,045$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Thunder | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.95 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 64c | 3,926$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.21 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Thunder | 58c | 3,832$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.92 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Thunder | 62c | 3,553$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.85 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nuggets | 38c | 3,524$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.55 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…0fa0backed Nuggets | 37c | 3,514$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0c32backed Nuggets | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Thunder | 47c | 3,370$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.81 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Thunder | 0c | 3,370$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,358$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.47 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nuggets | 37c | 3,333$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.76 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,322$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.15 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 56c | 3,236$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.55 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Over 213.5Over won
- Over 214.5Over won
- Over 215.5Over won
- Over 216.5Over won
- Over 217.5Over won
- Over 218.5Over won
- Over 219.5Over won
- Over 220.5Over won
- Over 221.5Over won
- Over 222.5Over won
- Over 223.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.