NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc19a66a57532c25924239b3df2fdf0d8c8bd0943e534b7bf392c421d6c979214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,324,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,956,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,324,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 796 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8679…4659backed Nuggets | 26c | 815,934$208,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,239.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 3c | 550,851$18,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,747.05 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Thunder | 75c | 268,667$201,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,166.68 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 27c | 161,746$42,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,868.22 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07b4backed Nuggets | 1c | 146,635$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 74c | 140,000$103,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,400 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Thunder | 75c | 120,480$90,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,119.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Nuggets | 1c | 105,500$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Nuggets | 26c | 100,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 79c | 95,337$75,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,270.35 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Thunder | 75c | 90,100$67,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,525 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 16c | 76,876$12,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,634.88 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Thunder | 75c | 66,707$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,706.98 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Thunder | 73c | 55,885$41,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,849.15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Nuggets | 27c | 54,914$14,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,778.23 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 74c | 53,965$40,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,836.12 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Nuggets | 25c | 52,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.95 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Nuggets | 15c | 50,000$7,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,611.51 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Nuggets | 10c | 47,250$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 75c | 43,990$32,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,197.49 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 75c | 42,857$32,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,603.78 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 25c | 38,299$9,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,574.75 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 68c | 38,124$26,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,069.94 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Nuggets | 12c | 36,753$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.22 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Thunder | 74c | 36,100$26,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,386 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…31cfbacked Nuggets | 28c | 35,795$10,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,006.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 26c | 30,769$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Nuggets | 19c | 30,000$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Nuggets | 11c | 26,480$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.35 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Thunder | 74c | 26,027$19,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,767.03 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Thunder | 77c | 25,000$19,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.98 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nuggets | 27c | 23,852$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440.03 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 23c | 23,000$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 75c | 22,409$16,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,676.75 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Thunder | 72c | 22,220$16,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,197.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Nuggets | 22c | 21,922$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.32 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Thunder | 59c | 20,446$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,446.02 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Nuggets | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Thunder | 75c | 19,589$14,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.19 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Thunder | 75c | 19,262$14,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.79 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 29c | 19,230$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,569.8 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Nuggets | 26c | 19,056$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Thunder | 74c | 18,639$13,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,913.64 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Thunder | 74c | 18,612$13,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.21 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Nuggets | 32c | 18,529$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,909.33 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…56f5backed Nuggets | 27c | 18,519$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Thunder | 63c | 18,144$11,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.86 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Nuggets | 26c | 18,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.89 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Nuggets | 5c | 16,524$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.64 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Nuggets | 31c | 15,373$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…7ddbbacked Nuggets | 35c | 15,341$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 73c | 15,151$11,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.73 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Nuggets | 24c | 14,958$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.61 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ab05backed Nuggets | 27c | 14,671$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Nuggets | 37c | 13,394$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 75c | 13,333$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.25 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 12,999$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.52 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nuggets | 16c | 12,857$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Nuggets | 10c | 12,239$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.97 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Thunder | 57c | 11,589$6,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets | 34c | 11,111$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.74 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Thunder | 56c | 10,758$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.84 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 27c | 10,734$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.46 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 41c | 10,352$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 75c | 10,263$7,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.09 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Nuggets | 29c | 10,214$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Nuggets | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Thunder | 74c | 9,332$6,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.37 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…305fbacked Nuggets | 27c | 9,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 70c | 8,989$6,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.61 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Nuggets | 26c | 8,846$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Thunder | 75c | 8,362$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Thunder | 72c | 8,328$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.77 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Thunder | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.98 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 73c | 7,981$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.59 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…a331backed Nuggets | 27c | 7,679$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nuggets | 0c | 7,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Nuggets | 0c | 6,611$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Nuggets | 26c | 6,465$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Thunder | 65c | 6,189$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nuggets | 5c | 6,010$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Nuggets | 5c | 6,004$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Nuggets | 26c | 5,769$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Nuggets | 4c | 5,755$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 69c | 5,750$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 74c | 5,392$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.95 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Nuggets | 7c | 5,390$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nuggets | 26c | 5,303$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.78 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 26c | 5,271$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.53 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 29c | 5,071$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…a2e4backed Thunder | 77c | 5,071$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…e475backed Nuggets | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Nuggets | 2c | 5,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…dc82backed Nuggets | 12c | 4,750$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.5 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 74c | 4,587$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.74 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 73c | 4,300$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.56 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Nuggets | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…b0a8backed Nuggets | 26c | 3,958$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Thunder | 74c | 3,850$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Thunderthis page
- Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 208.5Over won
- Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.