MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d61b1721502922a5e81aa3c6f03847b043ba3563308fa685ed77087b0e0dc4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Orioles, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,037,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,162,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,037,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Orioles | 45c | 1,174,530$528,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528,667.13 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Orioles | 47c | 400,000$186,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,723.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Guardians | 54c | 298,310$162,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,041.07 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 55c | 262,836$144,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,276.39 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Guardians | 53c | 182,662$97,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,321.29 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Guardians | 55c | 99,229$54,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,653.05 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Guardians | 55c | 85,000$46,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,110 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 55c | 82,978$45,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,586.34 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Guardians | 54c | 65,817$35,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,143.27 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Guardians | 56c | 35,895$20,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,872.85 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 53c | 34,865$18,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,478.28 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 58c | 34,066$19,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,384.05 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 56c | 33,789$18,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,904.95 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Guardians | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 55c | 26,668$14,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,089.56 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Guardians | 55c | 23,774$13,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,698.3 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 54c | 23,538$12,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,771.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…57c7backed Guardians | 57c | 22,517$12,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,682.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 56c | 20,000$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Orioles | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.94 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 49c | 19,340$9,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,904.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Guardians | 58c | 17,495$10,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,347.86 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 55c | 17,448$9,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,851.59 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 55c | 14,766$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,680.68 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 48c | 11,556$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.63 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 55c | 11,270$6,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103.92 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Orioles | 2c | 11,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Guardians | 56c | 10,826$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.64 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Guardians | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Guardians | 55c | 7,964$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.81 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Guardians | 56c | 7,881$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.27 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Guardians | 54c | 7,450$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 55c | 7,010$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 55c | 6,900$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 56c | 6,877$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 54c | 6,710$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Guardians | 55c | 5,704$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.29 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 55c | 5,600$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Guardians | 55c | 5,596$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.36 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Guardians | 55c | 5,323$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Guardians | 51c | 5,050$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 63c | 4,727$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.27 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Guardians | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 57c | 4,450$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.41 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 57c | 4,070$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.12 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 55c | 3,818$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.1 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Guardians | 55c | 3,800$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guardians | 56c | 3,780$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.29 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Orioles | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 55c | 2,780$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 54c | 2,779$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.32 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Guardians | 64c | 2,500$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d7…90babacked Orioles | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Guardians | 55c | 2,354$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.3 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Guardians | 56c | 2,350$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…79d5backed Orioles | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…118cbacked Orioles | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.78 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Guardians | 59c | 1,688$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.42 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 56c | 1,603$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.38 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Guardians | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Guardians | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…df66backed Guardians | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Orioles | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…3b2fbacked Guardians | 56c | 1,363$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 54c | 1,312$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.65 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…d17bbacked Orioles | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…ec01backed Orioles | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…f282backed Guardians | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…8696backed Orioles | 45c | 1,176$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…1416backed Guardians | 55c | 1,145$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…b134backed Guardians | 55c | 1,127$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Guardians | 52c | 1,124$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.86 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Orioles | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 54c | 1,109$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…4cd8backed Guardians | 55c | 1,073$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da7…9368backed Guardians | 55c | 1,069$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Guardians | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…aa71backed Guardians | 55c | 1,040$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…9116backed Guardians | 55c | 1,031$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…844dbacked Orioles | 45c | 1,022$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…c2dfbacked Orioles | 45c | 1,018$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Guardians | 57c | 1,001$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Orioles | 44c | 999.79$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.91 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Orioles | 36c | 991$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.47 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…cf6ebacked Guardians | 55c | 982$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…1e99backed Orioles | 45c | 982$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…90c6backed Guardians | 55c | 960$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…2c86backed Guardians | 55c | 927$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…21a2backed Orioles | 45c | 924$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 52c | 920.36$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.18 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…e7cbbacked Guardians | 55c | 918$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.