MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe97391710c2a5a47577514d36e1692a89a04b75c0ddc70234715a8d272a45848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,451,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,450,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,451,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Astros | 46c | 1,180,917$542,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638,250.79 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 54c | 520,069$280,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280,837.18 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 54c | 503,500$272,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272,239.97 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins | 54c | 43,700$23,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,598 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 48c | 40,232$19,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,121.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,249.98 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Marlins | 55c | 29,054$15,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,979.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 54c | 17,335$9,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,361.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Astros | 45c | 12,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Marlins | 8c | 11,574$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.85 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 47c | 11,518$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,080 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 55c | 11,127$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.39 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 48c | 10,515$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,483.04 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Marlins | 53c | 10,367$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481.46 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Marlins | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 54c | 7,900$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Marlins | 5c | 7,799$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.96 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Marlins | 52c | 5,900$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.04 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…e205backed Marlins | 54c | 4,998$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Marlins | 54c | 4,965$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.75 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 54c | 4,220$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.53 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…0293backed Marlins | 55c | 4,200$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Astros | 46c | 3,926$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.42 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Marlins | 54c | 3,900$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 54c | 3,690$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Marlins | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Marlins | 55c | 2,973$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.3 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Marlins | 55c | 2,803$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.65 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Marlins | 55c | 2,724$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.19 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 46c | 2,670$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.57 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 51c | 2,496$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.07 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Marlins | 2c | 2,308$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Marlins | 55c | 2,210$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Astros | 47c | 2,149$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.7 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…9d2fbacked Astros | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Marlins | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 75c | 1,795$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 74c | 1,648$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.38 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Astros | 48c | 1,564$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.19 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…d436backed Marlins | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…b3b1backed Marlins | 52c | 1,417$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…5f95backed Astros | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…c203backed Astros | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Marlins | 55c | 1,156$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.18 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 48c | 1,064$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.07 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2b48backed Marlins | 55c | 1,027$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Marlins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Marlins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…7656backed Marlins | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…cde3backed Marlins | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…fae5backed Marlins | 55c | 945$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…df98backed Marlins | 55c | 944.55$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…9b23backed Astros | 46c | 944.41$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 44c | 938.85$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.76 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 45c | 919.95$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.97 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 31c | 919.9$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…b342backed Marlins | 55c | 911.47$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…4596backed Astros | 46c | 911.35$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…3bb0backed Marlins | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 46c | 862$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.85 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 48c | 840.61$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Marlins | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…1e74backed Astros | 49c | 794.71$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Marlins | 55c | 791.47$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.31 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 46c | 688.94$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.53 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 6c | 668.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Marlins | 54c | 655.87$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.17 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…0235backed Marlins | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Astros | 46c | 608.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.67 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Marlins | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Astros | 64c | 594.41$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Marlins | 55c | 531.85$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Astros | 46c | 527.41$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Astros | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 47c | 499.96$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Marlins | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Astros | 46c | 472.11$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.94 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 45c | 469$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.95 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Marlins | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Astros | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 63c | 444.3$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Marlins | 55c | 401.82$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astros | 46c | 397.89$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.86 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Marlins | 3c | 389.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 59c | 380.76$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 46c | 374.23$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Marlins | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…f075backed Marlins | 55c | 347.88$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 5c | 333.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astros | 46c | 327.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.