NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc418abe924ef56f09b070324e7b260a1756c346c6930138b8e59e25030342bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,747,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,864,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,747,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,077 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Pacers | 33c | 302,878$99,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,928.57 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Pacers | 34c | 293,607$99,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,780.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 49c | 247,557$122,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,104.95 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…83bdbacked Thunder | 67c | 227,040$152,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,116.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0273backed Thunder | 67c | 208,702$139,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,830.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 66c | 199,999$131,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,999.24 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…ac9cbacked Pacers | 50c | 110,437$54,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,602.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pacers | 33c | 99,999$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,999.33 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pacers | 63c | 97,069$60,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,168.96 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Thunder | 67c | 94,892$63,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,577.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Thunder | 65c | 83,591$54,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,109.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Thunder | 66c | 72,399$48,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,056.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Pacers | 33c | 61,545$20,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,067.64 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed Pacers | 32c | 60,542$19,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,228.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…bc10backed Pacers | 29c | 57,282$16,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,518.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 68c | 40,005$27,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,303.75 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pacers | 36c | 39,856$14,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,358.21 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Thunder | 67c | 35,487$23,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,604.05 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 52c | 34,593$18,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,159.3 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers | 36c | 30,441$11,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,336.6 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Thunder | 67c | 30,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,949.98 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Pacers | 58c | 29,284$16,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,312.96 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 66c | 26,183$17,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,182.24 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Pacers | 39c | 25,506$9,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,628.32 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers | 43c | 24,382$10,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,956.26 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Pacers | 54c | 23,976$12,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,148.22 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Pacers | 33c | 23,882$7,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,934.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Thunder | 66c | 23,736$15,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,665.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Pacers | 41c | 22,350$9,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,079.07 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 35c | 22,000$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,260 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Thunder | 7c | 21,222$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.03 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Pacers | 35c | 20,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers | 52c | 19,885$10,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,492.85 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Pacers | 33c | 18,908$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,668.36 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 54c | 18,497$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988.17 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers | 34c | 17,647$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,647.06 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…7292backed Thunder | 66c | 17,630$11,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,635.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Pacers | 34c | 17,196$5,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,349.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 53c | 17,012$9,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,016.4 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pacers | 78c | 16,740$13,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.81 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 34c | 15,995$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.63 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 57c | 15,982$9,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,034.81 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Thunder | 67c | 13,000$8,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,710 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Thunder | 67c | 12,408$8,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,252.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…c594backed Pacers | 48c | 11,637$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,047.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Pacers | 34c | 11,368$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,558.04 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Pacers | 32c | 11,019$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,471.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pacers | 37c | 10,881$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,848.88 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Pacers | 39c | 10,455$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,413.49 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 32c | 10,305$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Pacers | 34c | 10,000$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.99 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Pacers | 33c | 9,623$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,485.43 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Pacers | 52c | 8,718$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +84%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Pacers | 49c | 8,666$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.56 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 43c | 7,801$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 67c | 7,772$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.47 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 66c | 7,743$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.6 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…3765backed Pacers | 47c | 7,710$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 64c | 7,649$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.46 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Thunder | 0c | 7,178$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers | 34c | 6,782$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.49 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers | 71c | 6,655$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.6 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Thunder | 67c | 6,545$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…4cb2backed Thunder | 59c | 6,500$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Thunder | 67c | 5,948$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.93 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers | 33c | 5,933$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.11 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers | 44c | 5,883$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.44 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Thunder | 1c | 5,733$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed Pacers | 37c | 5,653$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.53 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Thunder | 56c | 5,607$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…0536backed Pacers | 50c | 5,585$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.32 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Thunder | 46c | 5,532$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…cac5backed Pacers | 34c | 5,426$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Thunder | 3c | 5,276$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Thunder | 1c | 5,202$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 32c | 5,100$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Thunder | 67c | 5,063$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Pacers | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Thunder | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…fda8backed Thunder | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Thunder | 52c | 4,970$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 36c | 4,564$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.9 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pacers | 33c | 4,500$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.94 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Thunder | 1c | 4,318$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Thunder | 67c | 4,310$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Thunder | 54c | 4,100$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.13 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Thunder | 4c | 3,843$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers | 31c | 3,837$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.62 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…8afbbacked Thunder | 70c | 3,803$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Thunder | 66c | 3,768$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Thunder | 66c | 3,710$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.3 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Thunder | 58c | 3,550$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.5 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…9edcbacked Thunder | 67c | 3,504$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Thunder | 53c | 3,464$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Pacers | 35c | 3,320$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Thunder | 63c | 3,288$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.88 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…567dbacked Thunder | 21c | 3,263$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 34c | 3,252$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.32 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Thunder | 66c | 3,227$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…6aaabacked Pacers | 46c | 3,196$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +246.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Pacersthis page
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Pacers won
- Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.