MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c6f6165788f96151557ed50155a718045e376600830b3fc2a1f1fe4065652c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 57c | 49,239$28,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,192.77 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 43c | 46,495$19,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,502.13 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Guardians | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,250 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 45c | 19,902$8,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,008.94 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Tigers | 55c | 16,902$9,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,295.95 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…32eabacked Tigers | 57c | 16,581$9,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,451.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 44c | 12,776$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,154.66 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Tigers | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Tigers | 55c | 11,111$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111.05 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Tigers | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.98 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Guardians | 43c | 10,000$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.43 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers | 18c | 8,778$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.82 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 45c | 7,042$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.32 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Tigers | 56c | 6,959$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 44c | 6,456$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.36 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Guardians | 44c | 6,017$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 36c | 5,437$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Tigers | 57c | 5,085$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.43 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 75c | 4,309$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.41 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Tigers | 57c | 4,035$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Guardians | 43c | 4,016$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Tigers | 56c | 3,477$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.1 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.48 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 56c | 3,125$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 78c | 2,493$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tigers | 56c | 2,368$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.42 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Tigers | 56c | 2,350$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.85 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…b956backed Guardians | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…90c3backed Tigers | 57c | 2,272$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…1862backed Guardians | 38c | 2,178$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 71c | 2,049$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.98 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Tigers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers | 54c | 1,909$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Tigers | 21c | 1,835$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.17 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Guardians | 44c | 1,735$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked Tigers | 55c | 1,562$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Guardians | 44c | 1,445$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…fc3dbacked Guardians | 40c | 1,434$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Tigers | 27c | 1,432$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…9384backed Tigers | 55c | 1,257$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Guardians | 43c | 1,210$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.82 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Guardians | 73c | 1,030$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.25 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Tigers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Guardians | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Tigers | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…ba30backed Guardians | 42c | 945.24$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…d3ebbacked Tigers | 56c | 935.91$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Guardians | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Guardians | 44c | 909$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 44c | 908.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.01 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…3b9dbacked Tigers | 55c | 865.74$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 70c | 846$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Tigers | 57c | 844.88$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Tigers | 57c | 844.11$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Guardians | 44c | 840.91$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…5724backed Guardians | 44c | 835.28$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…d7fdbacked Tigers | 55c | 771.9$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Guardians | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Tigers | 56c | 715.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.47 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Guardians | 43c | 700$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 43c | 699.98$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 63c | 695.82$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Guardians | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…0bb4backed Guardians | 61c | 593.62$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Tigers | 56c | 592.91$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.03 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Tigers | 57c | 584.21$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Tigers | 56c | 575$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Guardians | 49c | 574.18$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Guardians | 64c | 570.41$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Tigers | 26c | 552.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…4d4bbacked Tigers | 13c | 535$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Tigers | 57c | 526.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Guardians | 44c | 509.57$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.36 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tigers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Tigers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Tigers | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Guardians | 43c | 490$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 43c | 465$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 44c | 463.87$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.01 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 42c | 451.54$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Guardians | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Tigers | 56c | 436.93$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 56c | 434$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Guardians | 44c | 428.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.91 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Tigers | 47c | 421.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 65c | 420.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Guardians | 43c | 400$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tigers | 56c | 379.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 42c | 374$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.17 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Guardians | 44c | 362.12$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Tigersthis page
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersYes won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.