NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd065c6382e5514a9085ccbe033c41a7546d64e25e4e5f15ce1f09e7fe29c38bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Timberwolves, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,171,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,206,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,171,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 755 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 200,000$61,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,026.34 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Timberwolves | 29c | 199,572$57,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,680.67 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 191,937$55,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,233.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 72c | 121,137$87,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,918.37 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 17c | 115,378$19,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,461.99 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 72c | 90,214$64,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,259.86 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Thunder | 72c | 67,700$48,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,956.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Thunder | 71c | 66,384$47,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,251.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves | 35c | 55,336$19,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,542.08 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Thunder | 72c | 51,564$37,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,437.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 72c | 50,256$36,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,113.81 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Thunder | 72c | 50,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 71c | 42,759$30,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,263.93 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Thunder | 58c | 39,997$23,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,775.89 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Timberwolves | 37c | 35,015$12,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,955.54 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 73c | 32,792$23,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,017.33 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Timberwolves | 27c | 32,697$8,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,824.83 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Timberwolves | 28c | 29,157$8,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,164 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Thunder | 72c | 28,197$20,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,864.57 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Timberwolves | 21c | 25,106$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.27 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 63c | 24,000$15,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,908.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 71c | 23,000$16,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,589.96 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 71c | 22,222$15,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.38 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…f6dbbacked Thunder | 73c | 21,918$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,917.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 72c | 19,666$14,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.11 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Timberwolves | 29c | 16,397$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.26 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 16,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Thunder | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…305fbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 14,274$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder | 73c | 13,982$10,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.14 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Thunder | 60c | 13,442$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…8e32backed Timberwolves | 1c | 13,221$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 78c | 12,101$9,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.71 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Timberwolves | 1c | 11,900$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Timberwolves | 34c | 11,876$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.84 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Timberwolves | 24c | 11,657$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.64 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Timberwolves | 0c | 11,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Timberwolves | 31c | 11,000$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Thunder | 79c | 10,796$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.47 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Thunder | 76c | 10,595$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.71 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Timberwolves | 4c | 10,582$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Timberwolves | 41c | 9,984$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.45 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Thunder | 72c | 8,991$6,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.41 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Thunder | 60c | 8,639$5,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,454.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Thunder | 62c | 8,423$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.36 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Timberwolves | 31c | 8,087$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.67 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Timberwolves | 28c | 7,858$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.11 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Timberwolves | 28c | 7,800$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Timberwolves | 28c | 7,279$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07b4backed Timberwolves | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Thunder | 73c | 7,140$5,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 30c | 7,133$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.52 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…2a36backed Timberwolves | 27c | 7,034$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 72c | 6,478$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.9 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 72c | 6,416$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.07 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Timberwolves | 34c | 6,400$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.86 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Timberwolves | 2c | 5,996$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 29c | 5,617$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.72 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 73c | 5,424$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.54 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,145$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 5,131$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 28c | 5,050$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Timberwolves | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…ed7bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 4,985$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 72c | 4,666$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.48 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Timberwolves | 23c | 4,273$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.06 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Timberwolves | 34c | 4,242$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.19 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…8ba5backed Timberwolves | 34c | 4,170$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Thunder | 72c | 3,900$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf5…d6c3backed Timberwolves | 28c | 3,857$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Thunder | 72c | 3,600$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Timberwolves | 16c | 3,546$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.45 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Timberwolves | 14c | 3,500$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.8 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Thunder | 66c | 3,363$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.51 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 3,355$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.94 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Timberwolves | 29c | 3,328$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.7 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…436bbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 3,321$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,271$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.59 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Thunder | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Thunder | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Timberwolves | 13c | 2,930$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.08 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves | 6c | 2,900$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…dc82backed Timberwolves | 14c | 2,850$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.93 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Timberwolves | 12c | 2,814$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…4ac1backed Thunder | 73c | 2,814$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…d932backed Timberwolves | 28c | 2,705$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Timberwolves | 29c | 2,644$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.49 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Timberwolves | 30c | 2,629$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.65 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Timberwolves | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Timberwolves | 29c | 2,489$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.58 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 2,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Thunder | 78c | 2,334$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.52 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Thunderthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 217.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.