MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8459b2d1dc2a77c8e69cdd916e996660ade8a5bd53258633c1ae6ce7747b712e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,070,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,548,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,070,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Tigers | 61c | 356,733$217,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,683.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 39c | 171,105$66,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,691.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Tigers | 61c | 163,900$99,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,920.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Guardians | 39c | 113,706$44,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,345.23 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Guardians | 39c | 101,073$39,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,418.57 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 39c | 87,450$34,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,105.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Guardians | 39c | 70,941$27,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,666.86 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Guardians | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,399.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 39c | 59,442$23,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,066.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers | 61c | 52,121$31,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,407.33 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Tigers | 63c | 49,988$31,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,406.59 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Tigers | 62c | 47,135$29,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,911.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 27c | 41,271$11,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,264.42 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Guardians | 39c | 40,187$15,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,689.76 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Guardians | 38c | 36,174$13,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,746.2 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Guardians | 39c | 32,000$12,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,479.99 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 39c | 27,049$10,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,549.18 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Tigers | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Tigers | 62c | 20,095$12,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,636.1 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 11c | 16,336$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.09 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Tigers | 61c | 14,682$8,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,726.14 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…0f83backed Tigers | 61c | 11,448$6,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Guardians | 39c | 10,256$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Guardians | 39c | 10,159$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.18 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Guardians | 39c | 10,001$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Guardians | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Guardians | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Tigers | 61c | 8,444$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669a…dd31backed Tigers | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Guardians | 36c | 7,774$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.19 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Tigers | 60c | 7,380$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Guardians | 39c | 7,350$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 39c | 6,410$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.89 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Guardians | 39c | 6,322$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.59 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Tigers | 60c | 5,900$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Guardians | 53c | 5,703$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Tigers | 62c | 5,576$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Guardians | 40c | 5,115$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.17 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f9cdbacked Guardians | 40c | 5,100$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…0880backed Guardians | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…e584backed Tigers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Tigers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Guardians | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…95dfbacked Guardians | 40c | 4,900$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Guardians | 39c | 4,839$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.12 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…d518backed Guardians | 40c | 4,780$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Guardians | 39c | 4,754$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…a403backed Tigers | 61c | 4,500$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…a005backed Guardians | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Guardians | 39c | 4,484$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Tigers | 63c | 4,282$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.02 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Tigers | 61c | 4,199$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.67 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Guardians | 24c | 4,148$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 38c | 4,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Guardians | 37c | 3,734$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.79 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Guardians | 39c | 3,651$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.8 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…03b6backed Guardians | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…4659backed Tigers | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Tigers | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…06f8backed Tigers | 61c | 3,300$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Tigers | 69c | 3,106$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.16 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Tigers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tigers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…a2dcbacked Tigers | 61c | 2,800$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Tigers | 61c | 2,753$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.95 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Guardians | 35c | 2,605$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…bafcbacked Guardians | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…664bbacked Tigers | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…a6bcbacked Tigers | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…b69abacked Tigers | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Guardians | 41c | 2,445$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Tigers | 70c | 2,316$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 60c | 2,055$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.91 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Tigers | 68c | 2,011$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.13 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Guardians | 39c | 2,009$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Guardians | 39c | 2,008$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Tigers | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Tigers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Tigers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Tigers | 70c | 1,874$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.02 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 35c | 1,826$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.3 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 38c | 1,781$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.6 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Guardians | 35c | 1,723$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.09 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccc…78dcbacked Tigers | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…db6fbacked Tigers | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Tigers | 61c | 1,647$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.87 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Tigers | 61c | 1,605$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.92 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Tigers | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 38c | 1,582$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.32 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Guardians | 33c | 1,576$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.07 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…09bcbacked Guardians | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ee…344bbacked Guardians | 39c | 1,450$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Guardians | 58c | 1,386$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Tigers | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Guardians | 31c | 1,300$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Guardians | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Tigers | 60c | 1,267$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Guardiansthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.